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MVG v James Wade
Michael van Gerwen (MVG) narrowly lost the final of Night 7 to James Wade in a match that went the distance and finished 6-5 to the Englishman. After winning back-to-back weeks (Night 4 and 5) MVG has failed to carry on that success after being knocked out in the first round of Night 6 and losing the aforementioned final of Night 7.
The Machine (James Wade) has seemed to struggle in the opening round of this tournament. He’s only won three out of his seven matches and made only one finals appearance, a 6-4 loss to Gerwyn Price.
MVG is the bookies choice in this match up which won’t be a surprise to anyone but because the match result is a poor value choice, we will have to look elsewhere in order to find a good bet. James Wade has hit the second least number of 180s (25 from 11 games) whilst MVG has had 42 from his 15 matches. MVG has also hit more 180s than his opponents on six occasions (40% of his games) whilst Wade has only managed this three times (29% of his games).
MVG MOST 180S
Joe Cullen v Gerwyn Price
Joe Cullen is currently sitting one point above Gerwyn price in the table and is sitting in fourth. The RockStar has the worst three dart average of anyone in the league despite being in the top half of the table.
The Welshman has struggled for form when you consider he is currently ranked 2nd in the World according to the PDC. He has won and lost five matches but despite a 50/50 record he managed to win the third week (Price 6-4 Wade).
Joe Cullen has hit an extraordinary amount of 180s this season, the RockStar has hit 44 maximums in just 11 matches (4 per game) whilst his opponent, Price, has only managed 23 in his 10 matches played (2.3 per game). 55% of Cullen’s games result in more 180s for the Englishman which is too good to ignore.
CULLEN MOST 180S
Peter Wright v Gary Anderson
After losing 6-4 to James Wade in the prior night’s semi-final, Peter “Snakebite” Wright will want to get back to winning ways against the two time PL Champion, Gary Anderson. These are the only two Scotsmen in the top eight and the Scottish fans will be eager to see how this game unfolds.
Despite winning five of the last seven matches between the two, Snakebite hasn’t always got the better of his fellow countryman. Wright lost nine of the twelve games before this streak of wins, which may bring the favourite into question whether he can get the victory here.
Gary Anderson has lost by two legs or more in five out of his six losses (played 10) and Peter Wright has won by the same margin in six out of his seven victories (played 14). Wright -1.5 has come off four times in his last seven games between both players.
WRIGHT -1.5
Jonny Clayton v Michael Smith
Jonny Clayton managed to reach the finals in the first two weeks but has only managed to get to the semi-finals twice in the five nights since his win against Joe Cullen in the second week of play. The Ferret has won and lost one match against Michael Smith (6-3 W, 6-2 L) but has only managed to win on one occasion of the last eight matches between the two before this competition began.
“Bully Boy” Smith has had a strange season so far, after losing his first three matches in a row he has only lost once in the first round since his bad start. He has managed to make two finals appearances although he did lose them both by a 6-4 scoreline.
Despite Smith not being the favourite here, we think he’s good value to get the win here when you take into account the fact that he has only lost Clayton twice out of the ten games that he has played against him.
MICHAEL SMITH TO WIN
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