With Ireland securing a bonus point win last weekend they now head the Six Nations table with 14 points, as both England and France trail them by just one point.
Surprisingly, it’s Scotland that come next in the pecking order in fourth spot at the minute, three points ahead of Wales, and this clash looks to be a straight shootout between these two sides to finish above one another.
Should the Scots prevail though, they’ll equal their best ever Six Nations finish in third, while for the Welsh, fourth is as good as it gets.
Scotland are the only team to have beaten Les Bleus so far this competition when they visited Murrayfield in March. That did come thanks to a first half red card for French prop Mohamed Haouas, which was always going to make it an uphill battle for the visiting side.
Gregor Townsend’s men proved their class when beating Georgia 48-7 in their warm-up for this next fixture, while they did also beat Italy prior to that French victory, meaning they’ve now won three on the trot.
However, back-to-back seven-point defeats at the start of this competition in Ireland and hosting England saw their chances of a first Six Nations title slip away.
It hasn’t been the best of starts for Wayne Pivac in the Welsh dugout. Having thrashed Italy in his opening game 42-0, it has all been downhill since, losing four consecutive games at Ireland, England and both home and away against France.
Those three road games are about as hard as it gets in the Northern Hemisphere, while they’ll still be kicking themselves to have suffered defeat at Principality Stadium.
That was the first time in three years they have lost in Cardiff in this tournament, while they’re an impressive W14-L3 since the start of 2014 here, winning the first half in 14, while their only other two defeats came against the most successful side in the competition, England.
Furthermore, this matchup has been an extremely one-sided affair down the years, with Wales holding an advantageous W22-D1-L4 across all competitions since 2000, with their only defeat at this stadium coming back in 2002 when Scottish coach Gregor Townsend was starting at fly-half.
Wales -2.5 first Half Handicap Points
That has been factored into the price though with the bookies giving the hosts a comprehensive 71% probability of winning this one, and off the back of their performance under new management, we can’t be getting behind them at that.
However, Scotland have gone just W2-D1-L7 outside of Murrayfield against Tier One nations when excluding Italy since Townsend took over back in May 2017, losing the first half in eight of the last nine and failing to cover the current first half handicap in each of those defeats, and that looks the best market to be getting behind in this one.