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What an advert for the game Harlequins’ victory over table toppers Bristol was last weekend. The Bears having taken a 28 point lead were stunned by Harlequins, as they battled back to bring the scores all level at 31 apiece in normal time.
It was at this point that the game could have easily gone either way, but again Quins came from behind to score two more tries in extra time and take the game 43-36.
It wasn’t quite the same drama in the Exeter match, but it was still an exciting one as they won 40-30 against Sale. Jack Nowell got a surprise call-up at full-back for the fixture as he scored for the first time since 20th September following his injury hit season, and that is the sort of luxury the Chiefs have to pick and choose British & Irish Lions players into their starting team.
That result means Rob Baxter’s men have now won seven games on the bounce since being knocked out of the Champions Cup by Leinster back in April, and you’d be a brave man to take them on in this final.
This will be their sixth Premiership final and that will give them some needed experience in order to take on their young London opponents.
They have lost three of those five finals since their first appearance at the end of the 2015/16 campaign, but each of those defeats came against a Saracens outfit that was sticking to the financial fair play rules.
Harlequins, on the other hand, may have won six of their last eight matches when including extra time, but they haven’t had too much success against the men from Devon.
They’ve lost four of their five meetings since the start of 2019, as five of those matches saw a maximum of four points separate the sides. No doubt the scores will be close again and especially with this being the Premiership final.
11 of the last 13 finals in this competition have seen fewer than 13 points separate the teams, including nine of which seeing a maximum of eight points.
Exeter 1-12 Point Winning Margin
The Chiefs will have to manage again without either Dave Ewers or Sam Skinner following their four-game suspensions on the final day of the regular season, and that no doubt makes them a weaker outfit.
Scottish international Jonny Gray was hardly a step down in quality coming in, but the youngster Richard Capstick certainly isn’t up to the level of Ewers in the backrow.
Harlequins don’t have those sorts of problems with their players and coupled with Twickenham being just over the round from their home ground in southwest London, they’ll be banking on this feeling like more of a home game for them.
However, considering they do lack the top quality Exeter possess, while only Saracens have managed to lift the title having finished either third or fourth in the normal season since the play-off finals system was first introduced in 2002/03, everything looks to be favouring Baxter’s men.
Exeter 1-12 Point Winning Margin At 8/5
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