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After a very successful outing from England in their first Autumn Nations series game against Tonga, winning the game 69-3, the Red Rose’s will be looking to carry on a good run of form against Australia.
While England have now won three on the bounce, all by large margins, they haven’t faced anyone with the talent that Australia have.
The Scotsmen were too much to handle for Australia on Sunday, losing the game to a Finn Russell penalty in the 69th minute .
Allan Alaalatoa controversially received a yellow card in the 36th minute for a swinging arm when rucking over, much to the displeasure of Captain Michael Hooper. Australia have now failed to beat Scotland in their last three head-to-heads
With Joe Marler having tested positive for Covid-19, Bevan Rodd will take his place on the substitutes list. Marcus Smith is back in the starting team for his biggest fixture yet whilst wearing an England shirt.
Adam Radwan who has been in incredible try scoring form since he came into the side has been dropped from the squad and is to be replaced by Manu Tuilagi who doesn’t regularly feature on the wing.
Highest Scoring Half 2nd
Over the course of 112 years since these teams first played, England and Australia have won 25 times each and there has been a draw on a single occasion.
However, the last time that Australia managed a victory over England was back in the 2015 World Cup when they won 33-13. In the seven games since that point England have come up trumps in every single one, the most recent of which was a 40-16 win in the quarter finals of the 2019 World Cup.
The evens handicap line is sitting around +12 for Australia, and they would have covered that in five of those recent eight head-to-heads.
That’s not enough to convince us either way though, and while Australia have a dangerous side, they are also susceptible to coming unstuck so we’ll ignore the handicap market.
In the last nine matches that these two have played against each other, the highest scoring half has been the 2nd with an overwhelming majority.
Only twice has it not happened, where one of the times saw an even split of 29 points in each half, so in what is likely to be a great and close contest, this looks to be where the value lies.
PREDICTION:
HIGHEST SCORING HALF 2ND
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