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England Level The Series
England have bounced back from their disappointing loss in first game of the series with a win over the old rivals Australia. This game was decided by Australia’s poor discipline with the Wallabies conceding 16 penalties throughout the game, six of which resulted in three points. Australia only managed three points from penalties which compared to England’s 18 so you can see how they lost the game.
Over the two games played, Australia have had a real issue with discipline with two yellows and a red card shown alongside 29 conceded penalties compared to England’s three yellow cards and 22 conceded penalties. Both sides will need to do better but specifically Australia if they want to win this test match and the series with the score currently being 1-1.
Noah Lolesio hasn’t been particularly great with the ball in hand this series and will need to carry on working on that side of his game with Quade Cooper unable to return from injury for this final test. However, a place where he has excelled is kicking, he has made all nine of his conversions/penalties so far compared to England who have missed three out of their 12 kicks. If Owen Farrell had made one of his missed penalties in the first game the series would be in England’s hands.
England To Win
Going into the series decider, England and Eddie Jones have made a handful of changes which will hopefully be the difference in this tight affair. The veteran Danny Care comes into the side to replace the man of the match from last week's fixture, Jack van Poortvliet.
That makes this the sixth game running that Jones has changed his number nine. Two of England’s best, Maro Itoje and Sam Underhill, are surprisingly out of the team this week with Ollie Chessum and Lewis Ludlam coming in to take their spots, Chessum will be making his test debut.
There are four changes for the Wallabies in Harry Wilson, Nick Frost, Reece Hodge and most excitingly Suliasi Vunivalu who is a rugby league convert and will be making his first Australia Union debut after missing the best apart of a year due to some hamstring injuries. Nick Frost will be making his test debut at the age of 22 whilst Wilson and Hodge make their fifth and 52nd start for the Australians.
Both sides seem to be experimenting a bit with their selections with multiple debutants on each team it makes this game even harder to call. The pre-match outsider has won six of the last nine England games which seems to hold some value here with England being the outsider. England have an incredible record against Australia with the Wallabies only winning three of the last sixteen games between the two sides.
ENGLAND TO WIN
Australia v England Teams
England: 15 Freddie Steward, 14 Jack Nowell, 13 Guy Porter, 12 Owen Farrell, 11 Tommy Freeman, 10 Marcus Smith, 9 Danny Care, 8 Billy Vunipola, 7 Lewis Ludlam, 6 Courtney Lawes (c), 5 Jonny Hill, 4 Ollie Chessum, 3 Will Stuart, 2 Jamie George, 1 Ellis Genge
Replacements: 16 Luke Cowan-Dickie, 17 Mako Vunipola, 18 Joe Heyes, 19 Nick Isiekwe, 20 Jack Willis, 21 Jack van Poortvliet, 22 Will Joseph, 23 Henry Arundell
Australia: 15 Reece Hodge, 14 Tom Wright, 13 Hunter Paisami, 12 Samu Kerevi, 11 Marika Koroibete, 10 Noah Lolesio, 9 Nic White, 8 Rob Valetini, 7 Michael Hooper, 6 Harry Wilson, 5 Nick Frost, 4 Matt Philip, 3 Taniela Tupou, 2 David Porecki, 1 James Slipper
Replacements: 16 Folau Fainga’a, 17 Angus Bell, 18 Allan Alaalatoa, 19 Rob Leota, 20 Pete Samu, 21 Tate McDermott, 22 Len Ikitau, 23 Suliasi Vunivalu
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