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Ireland have now lost the opening two matches of their five-game tour of New Zealand. After scoring the first try in the sixth minute of their last game against the All Blacks, it looked like Ireland were on for their fourth win against New Zealand in six games. Though it wasn’t to be for the Shamrocks, and conceding 28 points in the last 19 minutes of the first half effectively put the game out of reach.
Despite not playing international rugby for the past seven months, the All Blacks were back to their dominant selves by beating the Irish side by a 23-point margin. The three Barretts featured in the side and excelled in their various areas of the pitch but Jordie Barrett was the one that stood out, hitting all six of his conversions and got a try to his name as well.
After the All Blacks decimation of Ireland, the odds on handicap or an Irish win have lengthened substantially. The bet we suggested last week (Ireland +13.5) was at around 1.60 pre-match but in this game, that same bet is at evens.
We underestimated how quickly the All Balcks would get up to speed last match, and their record on home turf speaks for itself. Indeed, since 2010 New Zealand have played 69 home games and their record is W64-D3-L2.
Their two losses were against the British and Irish Lions in 2017 when they lost by three points (24-21) and the other loss they incurred was against South Africa in 2018, the game finished 36-34. The All Blacks also drew once each to the teams and Australia managed the same feat.
All Blacks -10 Handicap
Mack Hansen comes back into the side after recording a positive covid test before in the lead-up to last week's game and is the only replacement to the Irish side that played the All Blacks last week, he takes Kieth Earls place on the wing who hasn’t been included in the 23-man matchday squad.
Two front-rows Finlay Bealham and Rob Herring will come in amongst the substitutes. Good news for Ireland in Jonny Sexton being cleared to play after going off in the first half of last week's game.and keeping him fit will be key to their chances here.
The All Blacks are also only making one change to the side that smashed Ireland last week, Dalton Papalii comes into the starting XV to replace Sam Whitelock who developed symptoms of concussion. Scott Barret has moved to lock and Papalii will play as a blindside flanker.
New Zealand have put out another very strong side with minimal changes and this doesn’t bode well for the Shamrocks. The Kiwi’s won by 23 points in the last outing and looking at the teams put out by both sides it may not be very different.
Given the quality and dominance the All Blacks possess when playing at home we think a New Zealand win on the handicap is the best way to go.
ALL BLACKS -10 HANDICAP
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