Wimbledon Daily Betting Tips
With just four left in the draw, Friday’s Wimbledon action will be headlined by the men's semi-final action, featuring Matteo Berrettini who takes on the man who beat Roger Federer, Hubert Hurkacz, followed by defending champion Novak Djokovic who faces Denis Shapovalov.
Matteo Berrettini v Hubert Hurkacz
Not many would have envisaged the 100/1+ shot Hubert Hurkacz reaching the semi-finals of Wimbledon. The Polish player had never previously made it past the third round of a Grand Slam, but perhaps his win in Miami back in April should have given people some idea of the 14th seeds’ quality. A 3-0 trouncing of Roger Federer in the quarters, including a 6-0 in the final set is exactly the sort of performance to announce yourself onto the big stage, and having now won all his last four matches against the current top 10 in the world, he’ll fancy his chances in this one.
The Queens champion, Matteo Berrettini, announced his name on the bigger stage back in 2019 when reaching the fourth round at the All England Club and went on to reach this stage at US Open a month later. Since May 2019, the Italian has won 42 of his 61 matches at the Slams and Masters events, including a W26-L7 at the Majors alone. Furthermore, he’s on a run of 14 wins from his 15 matches since the start of Roland Garros, as only the French Open champion, Novak Djokovic, beat him there.
From a betting perspective, we still fancy Berrettini to take the proceedings but we think he’ll most likely drop a set in the process. Hurkacz did lose all five of his completed games before heading to SW19, while his opening three rounds here came against players ranked outside the top 35 in the world. A fourth round comeback against Daniil Medvedev after the game had to be finished off the following day due to rain played into his hands, while that Federer match just looks to good to be true for us.
We’d still fancy the Poles’ chances of grabbing at least one set, seeing as the Italian has dropped sets in seven of his last nine matches against the current top 25 in the world.
Novak Djokovic v Denis Shapovalov
It’s hardly surprising to see Novak Djokovic into the semis of Wimbledon. He’s now won 33 of his 36 matches this year, as each of those defeats came on clay. Furthermore, he’s won 70 of his 72 Grand Slam matches when excluding retirements since the start of Wimbledon in 2018, only losing to Rafa Nadal and Dominic Thiem on the red dirt at Roland Garros and it’s going to take some performance to defeat him.
Denis Shapovalov has hit a milestone in his career after reaching his first ever Grand Slam semi-final, beating his previous best at the US Open last year. He lost to Pablo Carreno-Busta at Flushing Meadows in that match and he has been somewhat fortunate with his draws in that tournament and here, facing only two top 15 seeds over those runs to the latter stages of the Majors.
Nole has won all six meetings across all tournaments between the two players, winning 13 of the 15 sets. He won by four or more games in each of those, as their only Slam meeting came at Australian Open in 2019 when Djokovic won 6-3 6-4 4-6 6-0. Moreover, the world number one has won 15 of his 16 semis on the main stage since the start of 2015, covering the current game handicap in 10 of those victories.