Rogers Cup National Bank Open Betting Tips

Along with a whole host of tournaments, the Rogers Cup was cancelled last year due to covid. Rafa Nadal therefore remains the defending champion having won the title in both 2018 and 2019, which also happened to be the first time the Spaniard had defended a hard-court title. That job of defending it again will be made easier by the absence of world number one Novak Djokovic, Dominic Thiem, Stan Wawrinka and David Goffin. Gold medallist and 2017 champion here, Sacha Zverev, will be making an appearance after beating Djokovic in his semi-final out in Japan before going on to beat Karen Khachanov in the final. The home support will fancy their chances of glory though, with all of Milos Raonic, Felix Auger-Aliassime and Denis Shapalov vying to win their first ever Rogers Cup. Tipsters Form Labs guide you to where the value lies for both draws with their betting tips for the Masters event.


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Main Contenders Men


Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev will head the seeds in Toronto this year after having such a spectacular ending to 2020 and the beginning of 2021. 

The Russian went on a 20-game unbeaten run before losing in the Australian Open final against Djokovic at the start of this season, although it hasn’t been quite so easy for him since that defeat. 

He has lifted titles in Marseille and Mallorca, but at the bigger events his best showing has been the quarters (Miami, French Open & the Olympics) and although he was runner-up here in its last showing, we’ll look for value elsewhere. 

Rafa Nadal

The two-time defending champion, Rafa Nadal, has to have another strong chance of victory. He did lose out on his Roland Garros crown this year, but that defeat came against Nole who looked unstoppable on the day. 

It usually takes an awe-inspiring performance to get the better of the Spaniard, as he’s lost only 13 times from his 93 matches off the clay courts in all tournaments since the start of 2018 prior to the Citi Open, only Stefanos Tsitsipas, Daniil Medvedev, David Goffin, Kevin Anderson, Nick Kyrgios, Roger Federer, Dominic Thiem (x2), Sacha Zverev (x2) and Novak Djokovic (x3) have gotten the better of him. 




Stefanos Tsitsipas

Stefanos Tstitsipas hasn’t quite got going on the slightly quicker surfaces following his run to the final of the French Open. 

Indeed, he crashed out in the opening round of Wimbledon and the third round at the Olympics and he has his work cut out if he wants to be challenging at the US Open at the end of the month. 

He did lose to Nadal in the 2018 final of this competition in what was one of the best weeks of tennis he’s played in his career to date, beating four top 10 players on his way. However, his last appearance in this tournament saw him exit in the first round, and even if that did come over in Montreal, it has to be a concern.

Alex Zverev

The danger man in the competition for us is Sacha Zverev. He just seems to be able to turn on his form at surprising times and that is exactly what he managed to do in Japan. 

He also did it when winning the ATP Finals back in 2018 and this field will need to be wary of his chances this week. 

The German has reached at least the quarters in all three appearances here since 2017 when he won it, while he’s only lost two of his 16 matches on the outdoor hard courts this season on the main tour, one of which came against Djokovic at the Aussie Open. 

Andrey Rublev

A disappointing first round exit at the Olympics for Andrey Rublev would have left the Russian very frustrated. 

That result comes after he failed to capitalise on what looked an easier side of the Wimbledon draw when crashing out to Marton Fucsovics in the fourth round, but he’ll be quietly confident now we’re back on the hard courts. 

He’s W19-L5 on hard courts this year, reaching at least the quarters in all but one of his tournaments, while his last four such events prior to the Olympics reads: Won, Semi-Final, Semi-Final and Semi-Final. 




Matteo Berrettini

The Wimbledon runner-up, Matteo Berrettini, has lost just twice since the start of the French Open, both of which came against the world number one (W14-L2). 

His hard court form is a little harder to gauge given he pulled out in the fourth round of the Australian Open, while he’s yet to really make a mark on these tournaments in the build-up to Flushing Meadows. 

Of course, we know his credentials at that event having reached the semis in 2019 and last-16 last season, but he’s probably worth avoiding this week. 

Shapovalov and Auger-Aliassime

The chances of both home players Denis Shapovalov and Felix Auger-Aliassime need to be considered. The former may not have won a title since 2019, but he reached his first-ever Slam last four last month at the All England Club and will be full of confidence.

A slight concern will be his W7-L4 record on the hard courts this year on the main tour, as the highest ranked player he lost to over that period was Auger-Aliassime. 

The young Canadian made a milestone of his own at Wimbledon to reach the quarters for the first time on the big stage, while he’s won 10 of his last 14 matches heading into this tournament. 

Hubert Hurkacz

Finally, a strong mention must go to Hubert Hurkacz. The big serving Pole beat both Daniil Medvedev and Federer on his path to the semis at SW19 and having also won the masters event in Miami back in April, he’ll be amongst it come the end of the week. He only made the third round in 2019 but comes into the competition off the back of some imposing form. 

Conclusion

The two men that stick out to us this week are Andrey Rublev and Alexander Zverev. The Russian earned a gold medal in the mixed doubles in Japan and looks a hefty price considering he tends to find his best form on the hard courts, while the world number five has shown his credentials in Canada before. 

Zverev has proven he can beat the top seed Rafa Nadal on multiple occasions and we like his chances of putting it up to the Spaniard again.

Alexander Zverev EW  

Andrey Rublev EW

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Rogers Cup National Bank Open Women's Draw

The women’s event will take place at IGA Stadium in Montreal. It’ll be the 129th edition of the women’s tournament and having not taken place last year due to covid, a whole host of names will be eager to get their name on the trophy. 

Homegirl and defending champion Bianca Andreescu will be one of those looking to put in another monumental performance in front of her home fans and without the likes of Serena Williams, Simona Halep, Ash Barty, Naomi Osaka, Sofia Kenin, Iga Swiatek and Angelique Kerber, her chances will certainly be boosted.

Unlike the men’s, where the ‘Big Four’ have dominated the proceedings for the last 20 odd years, the women’s competition continues to be an open field. Nobody has managed to defend their title here since 2004, as only Serena Williams in that time has managed to win more than once (2011 & 2013). Simona Halep has come the closest, winning in 2015 and 2018, while she lost to Belinda Bencic in the 2015 final after retiring at 7-6 6-7 3-0.

Main Contenders Women


Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka finally made it past the fourth round of a Grand Slam at Wimbledon last month on her way to the last four and having won in Abu Dhabi on this surface at the start of the year, she’ll fancy her chances.

Her breakthrough came at the end of 2018 when winning in New Haven and Wuhan whilst also reaching the last-16 at Flushing Meadows.

The second half of the year certainly plays into her hands with six of her nine titles on the main tour on this surface coming after July, and although she’s yet to make a mark in Canada, she’s rarely been in as good a form as she is now coming into it.

Bianca Andreescu

The defending champion, Bianca Andreescu, will have the home support behind her. The Canadian has only won three matches on the main since retiring from the Miami Open final though, and fitness issues could be a worry.

If she can get a string of games under her belt then perhaps she could make a challenge, but we wouldn’t be too bullish about her chances considering.

Elina Svitolina

Bronze medallist at the Olympics, Elina Svitolina, has been a bit out of sorts too. She has struggled off the hard courts, but the world number six continues to deliver on this surface.

She’s gone W23-L7 since the start of Monterrey in March last year on the outdoor hard courts, reaching the semis in her last two such events.

Given a few of the top players won’t be at the tournament this year, the 2017 champion has every chance to go on and lift the title again.





Karolina Pliskova

It’s difficult to gauge where Karolina Pliskova currently is at the minute. She finished runner-up at Wimbledon but followed that up with a third-round exit at the Olympics, while at the Masters and Slam events on this surface, she’s only twice won back-to-back matches since the start of last year.

Garbine Muguruza

Garbine Muguruza started the year extremely well, with a win in Dubai, two runners-up at Qatar Total Open and Yarra Valley Classic, and a fourth-round visit at the Aussie Open where she lost to the eventual champion Naomi Osaka.

So, on this surface alone, she’s only lost six times from her 29 matches this year and with that kind of hard-court form, she’ll go well this week.

Belinda Bencic

A mention must go to the 2015 winner Belinda Bencic. The Swiss player lifted gold in Japan and having only played 37 matches on the tour this year, she’ll still be fresh heading into the final stretch.

She’s yet to win three games on the bounce at a Masters or Slam event on this surface since the start of last year though, and that could be her undoing.

Conclusion

There are plenty of reasons to go against a few of the top seeds in our eyes this week. In fact, the only three players that don’t have a mark against their name for us is Elina Svitolina, Garbine Murguruza and Aryna Sabalenka. 

In such a thin field, you’d hope the top seed can bully some of the smaller names on the tour and they all look to have a great chance. 

Elina Svitolina EW 

Aryna Sabalenka EW   

Garbine Muguruza EW

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