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Having secured the Six Nations back in March, in what was admittedly strange circumstances, Wales have played five times since and the only victory they have secured thereafter was against Canada where they won 68-12.
This means that in their last four games they have D1-L3, though all games were all played versus Tier one opponents. A draw and a loss against Argentina as well as a loss against South Africa and New Zealand, means that they were not able to carry on their form from their dominant display in the Six Nations.
Fiji are currently sitting 11th in the world rankings, only two positions behind their next opponents and although they’re a Tier Two nation, they are the highest ranked one and certainly won’t fold easily here in Cardiff.
It’s difficult to assess Fiji’s current credentials considering they’ve only played four times since the beginning of the pandemic, with those games resulting in a W2-L2 record, though that’s exactly what was expected having faced the All Blacks twice, and beating Georgia and Spain.
Fiji +13 Handicap
Wayne Pivac has decided to make a few changes to the team that faced South Africa last weekend.
Keiran Hardy has been given his first opportunity of the Autumn Internationals and because of the injury to Aaron Wainwright a reshuffle of the pack is needed with Taine Basham moving to number eight and Thomas Young moving to the openside flanker position.
Exciting young winger Christ Tshiunza is on the bench and looks set to make his international debut
The handicap line is currently hovering around +13 for the Fijians, though Wales have only managed to cover that once in the last seven head-to-heads, despite four of those meetings coming here at the Millenium Stadium.
Fiji have managed four wins over Tier one opponents since 2014 but two of those wins were against Italy who are by far the weakest Tier one nation.
The first and only time that Fiji have beaten the Dragons was in 2007, where they won by a four-point margin. However, in the other 11 games they have played against each other Wales have come out on top in all of them bar one which they drew.
While we’d fully expect a home win here, the hosts aren’t quite firing on all cylinders at the moment and with Fiji proving they can cover the handicap, we’d back them to do so again against a changed Welsh side.
PREDICTION:
FIJI +13 HANDICAP
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