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Newmarket Preview And Betting Tips  - Saturday 10th October

Newmarket Preview And Betting Tips - Saturday 10th October

It's day two of a fabulous offering from Newmarket on Saturday and it's a classy seven-race card (1.10pm-4.50pm) that includes the Group 1 Dewhurst Stakes and the Cesarewitch Handicap. A trio of Group 3 races are on the undercard on what looks a brilliant day of racing at Headquarters, where the going is set to be soft. The Racing Post marks your card for the Newmarket action with their betting preview and tips for all the Newmarket action on Saturday.



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1.10 - Dubai Nursery (7f)

This opening nursery features a field of nine and it would be churlish to cross any of them off in haste. There was plenty to like about the Doncaster win of Tawaareq last month, Sir Michael Stoute's Shamardal colt coming on nicely from his debut effort. He's bred to be smart, holds a Derby entry and looks sure to make further progress.

Ralph Beckett won this last year and might do so again with ZOFFARELLI, who can make his experience count. He'd finished second three times in as many starts before winning on the Polytrack at Kempton and boasts solid form over C&D on soft ground. There may be more to come from him.

Series Of Dreams found an Ayr Group 3 beyond him last time but should find this more to his liking, while Fairmac and Mr Trick have scope for progress on their respective nursery bows.

Selection: Zoffarelli

Next Best: Series Of Dreams

 

1.45 - Godolphin Flying Start Zetland Stakes (Group 3, 1m2f)

A new departure in terms of ownership as the Moyglare team link with Coolmore, thus giving us the sight of Kyprios in the famous silks representing Aidan O'Brien and Ryan Moore.

The Galileo colt is bred for this sort of trip and was gutsy in getting a winning start at Galway last month over shorter on testing ground. He should improve but is set to meet some useful British opposition here and so looks a bit short in the betting.

Any of Fabilis, Recovery Run and LONE EAGLE could be capable of bagging this Group 3.

Ralph Beckett's Frankel colt Fabilis is two wins from three and made all in a nursery at Nottingham recently from a mark of 82. His debut run, however, was on soft and leaves him with something to prove on the likely ground.

Recovery Run hasn't been out of the first two in five starts so far and is two from two on turf. He won an Ayr nursery (1m, good to soft) from a mark of 85 last time and should be well suited upped in distance.

It's Martyn Meade's 500,000 gns son of Galileo that edges the verdict, however. He was never stronger than at the finish in seeing off well-touted Legend Of Dubai in a Doncaster nursery last month, with the well-beaten fifth State Patrol getting within a length of Fabilis next time at Nottingham.

This extended trip looks sure to bring further progress from Silvestre De Sousa's mount and he's already a soft-ground winner at Goodwood in August.

Selection: Lone Eagle @ 9/2

Next Best: Kyprios @ 7/4

 

2.20 - Emirates Autumn Stakes (Group 3, 1m)

This prize might be destined for Ireland as VAN GOGH has strong form claims for Aidan O'Brien and Ryan Moore. The American Pharoah colt finished second to Dewhurst-bound Cadillac at Leopardstown (1m, good) on Irish Champions Weekend last month. That's strong form and he has since got on the board in landing a Curragh maiden over 7f on yielding ground.

He likely doesn't want to see the ground deteriorating to be heavy, but should be fine on soft and can give his handler a first win in this race.

One Ruler has beaten Maximal already this term, though the former failed to sparkle since and joins Qaader in having something to prove.

The other Charlie Appleby runner, Dhahabi, could make progress and get involved at the finish and the same is true of once-raced Ascot scorer Akmaam for Brian Meehan and Jim Crowley. He had his rivals in trouble by halfway on debut and quickened nicely to leave them flailing. There should be plenty more to come from him.

Selection: Van Gogh @ 7/2

Next Best: Akmaam @ 10/1

 


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2.55 - Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1, 7f)

This has the hallmarks of being a very strong Dewhurst with real depth amongst a field of 14 exciting colts. The market is spearheaded by unbeaten pair Chindit and Thunder Moon for Richard Hannon and Joseph O'Brien respectively.

The former won Doncaster's Champagne Stakes last month, accounting for another well-touted rival in Albasheer in second spot. He cruised into the race and did his work in good style when asked to go on and win. He's taken each step up the ladder in his stride and has strong claims of making it four out of four.

Thunder Moon has one less run under his belt but he's already a Group 1 scorer via last month's National Stakes triumph at the Curragh. Declan McDonogh's mount met all sorts of trouble from the 2f-marker to the one, leaving him with no apparent right to win, but he lived up his name with a thunderous change of gear to score in some style. That was some performance given the setbacks in running.

The leading duo have another thing in common in that this will be by some way the slowest ground they have encountered, which leaves some room for doubt. It would be a spectacle if they lock horns in the closing stages and, as the betting suggests, the margins between them look wafer thin right now.

The aforementioned Albasheer is not written off in spite of that Doncaster defeat to Chindit and maybe the market is overcompensating for it.

CADILLAC went in a lot of notebooks after his ultra-impressive Leopardstown maiden win in July (7f, good), Jessica Harrington's son of Lope De Vega bounding nine-lengths clear. He was second to MacSwiney in a Curragh Group 2 on this second start (7f, soft-to-heavy) in August.

The winner was well held behind Thunder Moon since but the third has boosted the form. Cadillac also showed his progress with a convincing win in the Champions Juvenile Stakes (1m, good) at Leopardstown last month. If this becomes testing on the forecast ground, that extra stamina will be a help, and the fact he's handled the mud is potentially in his favour too. With so little to split the top pair, Shane Foley's mount is a viable each-way alternative in a cracking contest.

Selection: Cadillac @ 10/1

Next Best: Chindit @ 5/2

 

3.35 - Together For Racing International Cesarewitch Handicap (Heritage Handicap, 2m2f)

The race that begins in one county and ends in another, Newmarket's Cesarewitch is amongst the toughest handicaps on the calendar at a stamina-sapping two-and-a-quarter miles.

Willie Mullins has achieved the greatest of feats as a jumps trainer but, should the Closutton supremo win this contest for a third successive time, it would rate amongst his finest achievements.

Great White Shark was last spotted on the Flat a couple of lengths in arrears of subsequent Longchamp Group 1 winner Princess Zoe at Galway in July and she has the credentials and the mark (86) to stake a massive claim under Jason Watson.

The rapidly progressive three-year-old Coltrane must go on the shortlist for Andrew Balding and Oisin Murphy as he bids to extend a perfect record on the turf.

Cases can be made for so many in a field of this nature but we will settle on two at fair prices to go against the field.

RAJINSKY has really taken to staying tests this summer, finishing second best at Newbury and York over extended two-mile trips in July and August. The latter saw him within a length of Summer Moon, the top weight in this race, and a rival that he's now 2lb better off with. Dropping back to 1m6f at Haydock last month didn't appear to suit him but he's well worth a try at this marathon trip. He won on heavy ground at Windsor a year ago, and so conditions hold no fears for Tom Dascombe's challenger.

Whirling Dervish, meanwhile, had placed form at Listed level for Jessica Harrington late in 2018. He also beat the useful Twilight Payment at Gowran Park (1m6f, yielding-to-soft) last year before relocating to Gavin Cromwell to start a career over hurdles.

He was slow to get going but, since coming back from a break in August, has found his feet in the jumping game. A mark of 94 for this could be a perch from which he launches a decent challenge at a big price.

Selection: Rajinsky @ 22/1

Next Best: Whirling Dervish @ 40/1

 

4.15 - Dubai British EBF Boadicea Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Listed, 6f)

Breathtaking Look is a hugely consistent performer in this grade and should be in the mix, with soft ground no barrier.

Maid In India has been set some daunting tasks this term and has done some decent work without getting her success. She ran a fine race in the Group 1 Flying Five at the Curragh last month and needs maximum respect now eased in grade with 6f on soft ground well within her compass.

The conundrum of the race is Millisle for Jessica Harrington. She won the Group 1 Cheveley Park over C&D (good) to end last season. Having looked a non-stayer in the 1,000 Guineas, she took a while to get going again before easily winning a Naas Group 3 in July over this trip. However, she couldn't back that up when strongly punted at the Curragh the following month and has been given a break since.

There might be some each-way value instead on DOUBLE OR BUBBLE under the in-form James Doyle. She's progressing very quickly and has a couple of 7f win on her CV at Sandown and Ascot. The drop in distance isn't entirely likely to suit but she should be fine if this is run at a good pace, which will bring her stamina into play.

In a field of 15, those at the top of the market are vulnerable for one reason or another and this Exceed And Excel filly might have something more to offer after only three runs.

Selection: Double Or Bubble

Next Best: Maid In India

 

4.50 - Darley Stakes (Group 3, 1m1f)

Highest Ground didn't lost much in finishing second in a sub-standard Dante at York in July. His unbeaten record did go, but he should have learned a bit more about racing in the run and Sir Michael Stoute's challenger is respected eased in grade once more.

Darain too was two out of two prior to finishing fifth in the Great Voltigeur at York over 1m4f in August. The Dubawi colt should take a lot from that race and is amongst the likely principles here.

Dream Castle and Zabeel Prince are proven older performers but the ground is against the first-named while Roger Varian's charge hasn't shown his best form this term.

POSTED has developed a likeable profile this season and she appeared to relish making the running under William Buick for the first time at Sandown last month. Softer ground is something she'll need to prove her effectiveness on but she's a live each-way shout in a tough Newmarket finale for punters.

Selection: Posted

Next Best: Highest Ground

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