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Newbury Preview And Betting Tips

Newbury Preview And Betting Tips

There is a packed afternoon of action in store at Newbury on Saturday with nine races scheduled from 12.30pm through until 5.00pm. The feature on the card is the Group 3 Hackwood Stakes (4.00pm) while there's also a brace of Listed races via the Rose Bowl Stakes and the Aphrodite Fillies' Stakes. Racing Post expert Enda McElhinney brings you his preview and betting tips for another day of top class racing.

 


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12.30 bet365 Fillies' Novice Stakes (1m2f)

The standard is set here by the Michael Bell-trained La Dragontea, who ran a stormer last month when an 80-1 third in Lingfield's Oaks Trial behind Miss Yoda. She has since found only a progressive Sir Michael Stoute filly too strong on the Polytrack at Kempton over 1m3f and ought to go well.

Roger Varian's JAAIZAH remains with plenty of scope for better after two starts. The Dansili filly was second last time at Haydock (1m, soft) and the manner in which she finished the race very much suggested this extra distance will be favourable.

COCONUT finished a couple of places ahead of Jaaizah on debut last month at this track, finishing to good effect in what was a fairly sedate affair and is also likely to come on nicely for the run, ensuring Ed Walker's charge is on the shortlist.

Selection: Jaaizah

Next Best: Coconut

 

1.05 bet365 EBF Novice Stakes (7f)

There are plenty of expensively acquired sorts lining out for the first time in this contest and the market will be informative. Longlai shaped nicely on debut at Doncaster in a small-field affair when second behind the smart Seventh Kingdom and should improve to remain competitive; but plenty of the debutants make appeal on paper.

Oisin Murphy took this prize a year ago on Encipher and the champ rides RUSHMORE here for the in-form Andrew Balding yard in the Qatar silks. He cost 500,000 gns as a yearling and is nicely-related and looks the sort to do well first time out.

MAXIMAL a Galileo colt with plenty of speed in his pedigree and by a dam who was a half-sister to the mighty Frankel, is another noted newcomer for Sir Michael Stoute and Ryan Moore; while Legend Of Dubai needs closely monitoring and is Group 1 entered.

Selection: Rushmore

Next Best: Maximal

1.40 bet365 EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (6f)

Another race where punters will have little to go on form-wise. Sarsaparilla is the standard-setter though John Gosden's Showcasing filly doesn't set the bar too high and hasn't made enough progress in three runs to warrant a selection.

OUTKAST shaped with some promise on debut over C&D this month and should build on that fifth place finish now with Jim Crowley taking over in the saddle. She was a bit green and did well to finish as close as she did having raced in rear. A good step forward is imminent.

Newcomers Isla Vista and Jacinth make rock-solid appeal on paper for leading yards but so, too, does the Clive Cox-trained DEISE BLUE, a daughter of Dark Angel with speed likely to be an asset. The yard is in form and Hollie Doyle's mount can run well on first start.

Selection: Outkast

Next Best: Deise Blue

 

2.15 bet365 Rose Bowl Stakes (Listed, 6f)

METHOD was very impressive in putting his rivals away on debut at Doncaster just over three weeks ago, streaking away once Ryan Moore asked him to go on. The Mehmas colt should improve for that first run and the form has been nicely boosted since as the runner-up Fev Rover gave hot-favourite Dandalla a mighty scare in the Group 2 Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes at Newmarket last weekend.

He was allowed to dictate things as he pleased on Town Moor and may not be afforded the same privilege now. On that basis Mark Johnston's BOWMAN is much-feared. The Lawman colt came home well at Lingfield to make it two wins on the bounce six days ago.

Amor de Mi Vida had set a decent pace in front in that Polytrack contest and Franny Norton's mount picked up the promising filly quite strongly. Aside from a poor experience at Pontefract on second start, Bowman has improved with each run and a strong gallop here ought to see him to good effect as an each-way play in the dead-eight field.

Selection: Bowman @ 11/1

Next Best: Method @ 11/10


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2.50 British EBF/bet365 Premier Fillies' Handicap (Straight 1m)

William Haggas will be hoping there's more to come from TOMORROW'S DREAM after a winning return at Chepstow 18 days ago. She justified favouritism in the end, and did so cosily at the line, but took a while to get organised for that challenge. Against better rivals and having gone up 8lb in the ratings, she'll probably have to improve again despite the extra furlong being right in her favour.

HUBOOR ran a very good race when sixth home in the Sandringham at Royal Ascot last month and should be well suited here on what is forecast to be a better surface. That was her first crack at the mile and she should have more to offer for a Mark Johnston yard that continues to find winners aplenty.

Selection: Huboor @ 7/2

Next Best: Tomorrow's Dream @ 85/40

3.25 bet365 Aphrodite Fillies' Stakes (Listed, 1m 4f)

We saw a smart winner of this race last year (at Newmarket) in Dame Malliot, who was a Group 2 winner back at Headquarters this month. Ed Vaughan's winner ensured that six of the last nine renewals have gone the way of three-year-old fillies.

A trio represent that generation now and Virgin Snow, second last time in a Listed contest on the all-weather at Newcastle, is a likely improver with a role to play in this. A chance is afforded to CABALETTA for the Roger Varian team however.

She ran well on comeback when second in the Abingdon Fillies' Stakes over 1m2f here last month behind a promising sort of John Gosden's, while she had Longchamp Group 2 runner-up in Oriental Mystique behind in fifth.

She was perhaps a bit keen early on in her next start in the Group 2 Lancashire Oaks at Haydock and paid a tax for going the early pace in a race won by the smart Manuela De Vega. That was her first crack at this trip and she's worth another go in this lesser company.

Given that she was returning from a year on the sidelines LA LUNE ran a stormer to be second in this grade at Pontefract last month. The Champs Elysees filly has been allowed some time to get over that run by shrewd trainer Henry Candy and is very much the type to make further progress in the months ahead, with this being just her fourth racecourse appearance.

Selection: Cabaletta @ 8/1

Next Best: La Lune @ 5/1

4.00 bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3, 6f)

This is as wide open a sprint as you can hope to find and perhaps improving three-year-old REPARTEE is the way to go. He would become the third of his generation to take out this Group 3 prize in six years if he can do it, with Strath Burn (2015) and Yafta (2018) having shown the way recently.

Kevin Ryan's son of Invincible Spirit was gutsy in forcing through a gap before seeing off Above to win the Listed Carnarvon Stakes at Windsor on his seasonal reappearance last month. He battled hard and ultimately won going away in what was a promising time against the clock.

It has to be hoped that further improvement is in the pipeline and so he's afforded the chance to make the most of the weight he gets from the older horses today.

Judicial was good last time at Newcastle while former winner The Tin Man ran well in the Diamond Jubilee at Ascot and has his claims. It hasn't quite happened yet this year for Dakota Gold and so next-best may be TABDEED, who shaped well in a strong Newcastle handicap three weeks ago when attempting to reel in all-the-way winner Glen Shiel.

That rival has since gone close in a French Group 3 and Owen Burrows' gelding remains low-mileage. His only previous try in this grade at this trip was on soft autumn ground at Ascot and he's well worth another crack in a race as open as this one.

Selection: Repartee @ 13/2

Next Best: Tabdeed @ 8/1

 

4.30 Each Way Extra At bet365 Handicap Division 1 (1m)

Shaun Keightley's IMAGE OF THE MOON has finished well-held in two recent starts on the all-weather at Kempton but that was nothing less than the market implied.

She drops in grade for this turf return and is also rated 3lb lower today. With only three runs on grass behind her, this daughter of Mukhadram could well have more to offer in this sphere yet. She also boasts a solid C&D second on her record from one previous visit and has the capabilities to get involved under Josephine Gordon.

SIR PLATO arrives here in thriving form after back-to-back wins at Chepstow, defying a 5lb penalty in his latest 7f win at the Welsh track. He's 9lb higher still now but has won from higher marks than this in the past and so cannot be discounted in his current mood.

Selection: Image Of The Moon

Next Best: Sir Plato

 

5.00 Each Way Extra At bet365 Handicap Division 2 (1m)

After a winning return to action at Lingfield last month there should be further scope in VOICE OF CALM this afternoon from just 4lb higher in the ratings. She did her job well on the Polytrack and had two next-time-out winners amongst her vanquished rivals. That run can also be upgraded as she had to overcome a wider draw than ideal.

The unexposed Casual Reply is one to note in the betting on her handicap bow after a layoff, though the Frankel filly did her best work last year over staying trips and so might find this sharp enough.

The handicapper may have taken a chance on LATENT HEAT for the Tony Carroll team. The Irish import was a winner on the AW at Wolverhampton in March and shaped as if needing the run over this C&D last month after a 96-day break. He's been dropped 5lb on the strength of that run and that might underestimate his ability to come forward for it in this very open finale.

Selection: Voice Of Calm

Next Best: Latent Heat

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V: 1.14.1 All rights reserved. August 2021
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