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Glorious Goodwood Betting Tips – Day Three

Glorious Goodwood Betting Tips – Day Three

The midpoint at Glorious Goodwood arrives on Thursday and centre stage is reserved for the fillies in the Qatar Nassau Stakes at 3.35pm over a mile-and-a-quarter. The Richmond Stakes and Gordon Stakes feature on the undercard, with racing at Glorious Goodwood from 1.50pm-5.250 (seven races) and the Racing Post sets the scene with their betting tips, analysis and predictions.




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1.50 - Unibet '15 To Go' Kincsem Handicap (1m2f)

Mark Johnston's horses regularly are able to rebound from a subpar effort to good effect and so previous course winner QAADER is chanced to hit back after a somewhat lacklustre effort when fourth at Newmarket (1m, good to firm) earlier in the month.

That came on the back of a good staying on seventh in the Britannia Stakes at Royal Ascot in June, while he had followed up a pleasing Chelmsford reappearance in April with a determined score here over a mile late that same month (also quick ground).

He has run well on good-to-soft in the past and he was sent off second-favourite for the Richmond Stakes on this card a year ago. This is his first attempt at 1m2f and it would be typical of a Johnston horse to rebound and thrive for this longer journey. Note, the trainer saddles five of the dozen runners here.

The hat-trick seeking Mr Excellency has red-hot Hollie Doyle on board after her opening day treble on Tuesday, but must prove himself on the forecast ground.

Alfaadhel and Aerion Power are both likely to be near the front end of the betting. Roger Varian's charge needs to rebound from Royal Ascot defeat over this trip but could do so, while Sir Michael Stoute's Kingman colt is on a recovery mission after his rider mistook the winning post at Doncaster 12 days ago and forfeited certain success in the process.

Selection: Qaader

Next Best: Mr Excellency

 

2.25 - Unibet Richmond Stakes (Group 2, 6f)

After dining at the top table for the first time as a Flat handler here on Tuesday when Trueshan won the Goodwood Cup, more success may beckon for Alan King now with ASYMMETRIC.

The Showcasing colt won his first two starts over C&D and at Newmarket (good to soft) under a penalty in June and he only narrowly failed to make it 3-3 in the Group 2 July Stakes at HQ since. Lusail, a smart sort for Richard Hannon, staged a late rally to thwart him there, with re-opposing Ebro River behind in fourth. This 150,000 gns breeze-up buy looks to have plenty about him and his experience of Goodwood will stand to him in this seven-runner affair.

Newbury's Super Sprint scorer Gubbass represents the Hannon team here. The Mehmas colt is 2-2 after winning that valuable pot. Ground conditions will be different now however and this is asking for more still.

The aforementioned Ebro River and Kevin Ryan's Gis A Sub - sill a work in progress based on his Pontefract win - are respected but the chief threat to the selection could be from Perfect Power for Richard Fahey and Paul Hanagan.

The Ardad colt opened his account second time up at Hamilton in June, readily, and then fended off subsequent Group 2 winner Go Bears Go to win the Norfolk at Ascot in June. If he handles these conditions, he won't be far away.

Selection: Asymmetric

Next Best: Perfect Power

 

3.00 - John Pearce Racing Gordon Stakes (Group 3, 1m4f)

The early market for the Gordon Stakes is headed by Wordsworth for Aidan O'Brien and Ryan Moore. The Galileo colt has posted figures of 12232 this season and is certainly consistent having placed at Royal Ascot in the Queen's Vase and since in the Irish Derby and the Grand Prix De Paris back down at 1m4f.

He also handles cut in the ground and so, on paper, there's plenty going for him.

Those placed efforts in Ireland and France recently saw him beaten a combined tally of more than 13-lengths and there's a worry that others will again possess a more decisive turn of foot.

At the top of the racecard are Yibir and Youth Spirit for Charlie Appleby and Andrew Balding respectively, both carrying 3lb penalties here. The Godolphin gelding has soft-ground form here and thrived last time at 1m4f around Newmarket - he cannot be crossed off hastily.

Sir Lucan is a second string to the Ballydoyle bow and has Frankie Dettori for company while Third Realm was fifth in a strong Epsom Derby last month and had earlier defeated the Classic hero (and subsequent King George winner) Adayar on soft ground at Lingfield over this sort of trip. He drops in class and will handle conditions so his chance is a strong one.

ALEAS flopped here behind Lone Eagle and Yibir in the Cocked Hat Stakes (1m3f, soft) in May but it might be worth giving him another chance.

His trainer Ralph Beckett has already been in flying form this week at Glorious Goodwood and this Archipenko gelding was a Listed winner at Hamilton this month in his only start since May.

He won that with something in hand and, being a heavy ground scorer on his comeback run, is expected to handle conditions. His previous run here surely wasn't a true reflection and he's a decent price for this mission.

Selection: Aleas

Next Best: Third Realm

 

3.35 - Qatar Nassau Stakes (Fillies' Group 1, 1m2f)

Dual Group 1 winner Audarya heads a high-quality field of six for the Qatar Nassau Stakes, with William Buick set to maintain the partnership after being aboard for her seasonal reappearance at Ascot last month when she ran Love close in the Prince Of Wales's Stakes.

James Fanshawe's Wootton Bassett mare won her Group 1s last season in France and the United States and must rate a major player here.

Her fellow 5YO Lady Bowthorpe has excelled this season at the mile trip for trainer William Jarvis, running big races in defeat in the Lockinge, the Duke Of Cambridge at Royal Ascot and the Falmouth at Newmarket. She's a Group 2 winner at 1m1f and commands respect.

The duo are, however, shipping 9lb to their quartet of 3YO rivals today and that's of some concern, with five of the last six Nassau winners being from that Classic age-group.

Empress Josephine just edged out her Aidan O'Brien-trained stablemate JOAN OF ARC to win the Irish 1000 Guineas in May but she was well held afterwards at Royal Ascot in the Coronation Stakes and it's Ryan Moore's mount that is tipped to come out on top here.

Both are by Galileo and Joan Of Arc conquered the Prix de Diane at Chantilly (1m2½f, good) in June in one run since. She seemingly relished the extra distance there and won't be fazed returning to this slower surface.

The Irish are bidding for a fifth win in seven years in this Group 1 and Joan Of Arc is fancied to emulate last year's winner Fancy Blue by adding this prize to a win in the French Oaks previously.

Zeyaadah overcame Technique in a Group 3 on Newcastle's all-weather in June and could do better still, though both require a leap forward.

Selection: Joan Of Arc

Next Best: Empress Josephine

4.10 - Goodwood Racecourse Patrons Nursery (7f)

New Bay colt Adjuvant is 2-2 for Michael Bell and defied a penalty readily at Salisbury earlier in the month on good to soft ground. He gets Ryan Moore's assistance on nursery bow and won't lack for supporters off an opening mark of 85.

The Mark Johnston-trained Highland Premiere is on a hat-trick having improved to win at Hamilton and Catterick, latterly with lots in and on soft ground. He's been put up 5lb for that score three weeks ago and should have his say again with conditions to suit.

His stablemate Whitefeathersfall joins the Richard Hannon-trained Newmarket winner Ardbraccan on the extended shortlist in a competitive event but maybe ROBASTA can oblige for Andrew Balding and Oisin Murphy.

He has run well behind the likes of Go Bears Go in a 5f soft-ground Ascot novice this season and, while outclassed in the Windsor Castle, he made a winning start to his nursery career back at Ascot (6f, good to soft) earlier this month, seeing the race out strongly after getting to the front a furlong from home.

A 3lb rise for that win isn't excessive, especially with the likelihood that this extra furlong will bring about further improvement.

Selection: Robasta

Next Best: Highland Premiere

 

4.45 - Tatler EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (7f)

Something of a minefield here with 18 fillies declared for this maiden over 7f. The betting will be an essential aid.

Helene has shown ability in two runs for Richard Hannon and should win races, while Andrew Balding's Typewriter was a fair fourth on her bow at Windsor 10 days ago and is entitled to improve. He also runs Wilderness Girl, sent off second-favourite on debut in a Newmarket maiden won by Ardbraccan recently before finishing fourth. Progress to come from both Balding runners.

Debutantes Vintage Fashion for Mark Johnston and Suzy's Shoes for Eve Johnston-Houghton are worth further investigation and market support would be noted but KINGDOM GIRL could well give Hollie Doyle another Glorious Goodwood winner.

The Kingman filly caught the eye in that same Newmarket maiden behind Wilderness Girl (they finished fourth and fifth) and there could be a chunk more to come from her with Doyle taking over in the saddle here.

Selection: Kingdom Girl

Next Best: Vintage Fashion

 

5.20 - World Pool Handicap (5f)

Fantasy Master went close on heavy ground at Royal Ascot in June over this trip, looking somewhat unfortunate not to get up under Ray Dawson. A step up to 7f since at Sandown yielded nothing but Mick Appleby's charge certainly should relish this test back down in trip on the forecast ground.

It's almost a year since Jojo Rabbit was spotted, Archie Watson's now 3YO gelding had some smart form last term - second in Newbury's Super Sprint - and needs a close look in the betting.

Whenthedealinsdone has form at this distance and drops in trip, while Twilight Calls remains on the up if handling the slower conditions for Henry Candy in the Cheveley Park colours.

Cheekpieces are tried on MUKER and maybe this slower ground will suit him. Philip Makin's Mehmas gelding was a Group 3 Polytrack winner in Ireland back in October but has rather flattered to deceive in four runs this season, all over this 5f trip.

He's not been a mile off and, after starting from a mark of 103, now finds himself 10lb lower with the new headgear going on and he was a winner at York last season on good-to-soft.

Showalong is a confirmed mud-lover and his latest run at Ayr isn't hard to overlook. Tim Easterby's charge should rebound quickly while Isle Of Lismore (behind Whenthedealinsdone at Windsor in June on fast ground) is another with heavy-ground winning form on his CV.

Selection: Muker

Next Best: Showalong

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