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WGC Workday Championship Betting Tips

WGC Workday Championship Betting Tips

The WGC Workday Championship takes centre stage on the PGA Tour this weekend from the Concession Golf Club, Bradenton, Florida. The tournament normally held in Mexico has been shifted over due to the pandemic and kicks off a four-week long Florida swing on the Tour. Tipsters Form Labs guide you to where the value might lie with their betting tips for the event.




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About The Concessions Golf Club

The Covid-19 pandemic has forced a temporary move of the first WGC event of the year from Mexico to Florida and will now play as the first of four big competitions over the next month to be played in the Sunshine State, with the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the PLAYERS and the Honda Classic also scheduled in the coming weeks.

The Concession course is largely an unknown quantity for most of the players in the field this year, with the most relevant course pedigree coming in the way of Bryson DeChambeau’s NCAA Championship win here as an amateur back in 2015.

The Jack Nicklaus and Tony Jacklin co-designed course is aptly names to commemorate Nicklaus conceding a two-foot put to Jacklin in 1969 and establishing the first ever draw in Ryder Cup history.




WGC Workday Championship Betting Tips

With little go off in terms of previous events here, the words of members and NBC analysts Paul Azinger and Gary Koch suggest that the bombers could find this course much less of a challenge than those who won’t be carrying that 300-yard mark.

“If you see the golf course from a 310-yard carry distance off the tee, it’s not very hard,” says Azinger, while Koch highlights the need to be on point with your irons, saying “You have to be so precise playing into the greens, there are quadrants and ridges and slopes and a lot of false fronts.”

Bryson DeChambeau 18/1

That theory was certainly backed up in 2015 with DeChambeau currently renowned as the biggest hitter on tour, and he’s not let those standards slip recently ranking first for driving distance in each of his last four made cuts. 

The issue has been the rest of DeChambeau’s game lately as he’s failed to capitalise on his advantage off the tee. He’s managed to hit just 56% of his fairways this year and ranks 95th on tour for GIR, so at his price he leaves too much to be desired for us.

Dustin Johnson 13/2

Dustin Johnson seems the obvious candidate here, ranking 5th for driving distance on the tour this year while he’s also ranked the top-10 for GIR in nine of his last 11 tournaments. 

He’s undoubtedly the best player on tour at the moment and his all-round game is astonishingly good, though his price at Riviera held us back last week as we opted for Jon Rahm instead, and that worked out to be a winning move as the Spaniard managed to place, and with DJ not drifting out too far for this competition, we have our reservations. 

He’s won just one of his 29 events in Florida, and while his recent form is certainly the best of his career, he hasn’t played in this state for nearly two years now, and its instead Rory McIlroy (16/1) that has drifted out long enough for us having missed the cut at the Genesis Invitational last week.




Rory McIlroy 16/1

Firstly, we’d take that missed cut with a pinch of salt as he’s been playing some of his best golf in recent memory this season, even if results haven’t quite justified his performances. 

That was his first missed cut since the Open at Portrush back in 2019, while he’s not managed to miss back-to-back cuts since the Irish and Scottish Opens back in July 2017 (which he followed up with a fourth at the Open the following week. 

In fact, four of his last five tournaments since missing a cut have yielded an each-way payout, including two victories, so his mentality certainly can’t be questioned, especially considering he was seen practicing in Florida not 24 hours after his cut last week.

The Northern Irishman’s love for Florida is evident in his play, winning all three of the follow up tournaments to this at some point in his career (Arnold Palmer, PLAYERS, and Honda Classic) with the former two both being won in the last three years. 

Only DeChambeau has been driving the ball further than McIlroy on tour this year, and back on the east coast we’re happy to get behind him to iron out some of the small frailties in his game and go well here.


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Joaquin Niemann 40/1

A younger player on the tour that is massively exceeding current expectation is Joaquin Niemann (40/1). 

The Chilean hasn’t previously gone well in Florida, with a best finish of 37th from his five starts, though he’s made a flying start to this season with two second place finishes in his three tournaments so far, and on a course where he’ll not have to concede to those who more experienced, this looks like the perfect opportunity to convert those strong performances into results.

The 22-year-old faltered in his final two rounds at Riviera after a strong start the week, though he still managed to outdrive every player who made the cut, all the while finding the fairways with consistency and ranking fifth for driving accuracy. 

His iron play let him down at the weekend, though we’re inclined to put that down as a blip as he ranked in the top-10 for GIR at both the Tournament of Champions and Sony Open prior to last week. 

He certainly has the game to take it to the world’s best this week, and with course pedigree out the window, there’s the perfect opportunity for a youngster to make the course their own, and Niemann is our bet to do just that.

1.5pts Rory McIlroy E/W At 16/1 (1/5 odds, 6 places)

1pt Joaquin Niemann E/W At 40/1 (1/5 odds, 6 places)

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V: 1.14.1 All rights reserved. August 2021
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