EXTRA VALUE FOR THE WELLS FARGO!
About Quail Hollow
At a lengthy 7,600 yds, it’s one of the longest par-71 courses you’d wish to find on tour, and it’s therefore no surprise that distance off the tee bodes well here.
However, the real work to be done is on and around these greens and while bombers do have that automatic advantage, without that magic short game touch it’s tough to post a low score on what is a very challenging George Cobb design.
Wells Fargo Tips
Indeed, since the redesign to cater for the PGA Championship’s after the 2016 edition, all three winners (Max Homa, Jason Day, and Brian Harman) have all ranked in the top seven for both Scrambling and Putting Average, with the two most recent both leading the field on the greens and following in second with Scrambling.
That trend runs through the top players in the leaderboard in each of the past three editions, though it’s not as simple as finding the best putters and scramblers on tour so far this year, as course pedigree certainly comes into the equation and having performed on this course and got a feel for the greens can’t be stated enough.
Justin Thomas 10/1
At the top of the market, Justin Thomas (10/1) is understandably favourite here. A winner at the PLAYERS in March and has followed that up with 21st and 13th in his two stroke play events since then, so he’s never far away from the top.
A winner of the PGA Championship on this course in 2017 shows he has what it takes to beat the very best here, and in a weaker field he should, in theory, go extremely well again.
He ranked second in Putting Average when winning here, while he also ranks second for that metric on tour this year, with his 1.675 average the best of his career to-date heading into Wells Fargo, and with his all-round game arguably the best in the sport at the moment he’ll certainly take some beating.
A seventh placed finish on debut here in 2015 and a 21st last year shows that even when he’s off, he’s never far away and despite his short price, he gets our backing to close this one out and take the win.
Pat Perez 150/1
This course has thrown up some very unexpected winners in the past, with Homa not looking in any sort of form heading into this in 2019 and not even in the picture when it came to the best scramblers and putters on tour as he also entered the event with form of MC-52-42, and it’s on that basis that Pat Perez (150/1) looks a strong price for us here.
The American has strong course pedigree to fall back on here with three top-20s in his last six starts when the Wells Fargo has been played here, including an 8th in 2019 where he led the field in Scrambling, so it’s safe to say he’s got a good read of this course.
A 28th at the PGA Championship here in 2017 is also good going, as he ranked in the top five for all of Driving Accuracy, Greens-in-Regulation.
His form leaves a lot to be desired, though top-30 finishes at Pebble Beach back in February and at the Valspar last week show he’s certainly not a lost cause and he’s now at least qualified for the weekend in four of his last five tournaments, and in a tournament where some unexpected players can rise to the top, he looks exceptionally well-priced.