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About TPC River Highlands
In stark contrast to Torrey Pines which played into the hands of the bombers, TPC River Highlands sits at just over 6,800 yards, around 1,000 yards shorter than the course that hosted the US Open last week.
There’s been an eclectic mix of winners here in recent years, with the cream rising to the top on occasion, with the likes of Dustin Johnson and Jordan Spieth winning here in 2020 and 2017, respectively, while Ken Duke and Russell Knox have provided outsider wins, though one thing remains consistent and that is work on the greens.
Three of the last four winners have ranked in the top five for putting average, while second place has also done so in two of the last three years, so strokes-gained putting and putting average are going to be the two main factors to look at here, as well as recent form and course pedigree, though those will be factored into the decisions in varying degrees.
Travellers Championship Betting Tips
Matt Wolff 40/1
The first pick, therefore, comes by the way of Matt Wolff (40/1). The American had been taking some time away from the sport for personal reasons, though he came back with a bang at the US Open and was very much in contention heading into the final day.
A three over final round is nothing to be sniffed at though and a tie for 15th at a major in his first competitive outing since the Masters shows just how much quality he has.
His all-round game looked superb, enough so that if he plays as well here, in a slightly weaker field and having shaken off some of that rustiness, he will go exceptionally well around this course.
He’s only completed three stroke play events this season before last weekend, and despite his poor form in those contests, his putting was the only thing up to scratch.
He gained more strokes putting in the Genesis Invitational and Phoenix Open than in all other parts of his game, and that was only highlighted last weekend when he gained just shy of five putting strokes on the rest of the field.
He ranks 26th for putting average this season, and while he hasn’t particularly gone well around River Highlands before, that’s not necessarily the worst sign.
The 22-year-old has gone MC-MC in the last two renewals of this event, but none of the last 10 winners had a top-30 finish the year before they won. Indeed, Johnson had a five-year break here after a tie for 31st in 2014, while Chez Reavie, Bubba Watson and Kevin Streelman all missed the cut before winning in 2019, 2018 and 2014, respectively.
Russell Knox withdrew after being 139th after round one the year before his 2016 win here, and Jordan Spieth had even gone MC-42 before winning here in 2017, so Wolff’s recent showing is enough for us to get behind him here at the prices in what would be an immensely popular win.
Max Homa 66/1
Another factor to look at is how players fare on corresponding courses, and pedigree at both Riviera (host of the Genesis Invitational) and Copperhead (Valspar Championship) both lend themselves tremendously here.
Max Homa (66/1) looks like a particularly good price considering he won the Genesis this year and placed sixth at Copperhead just last month.
It’s true he’s not had the best of times around River Highlands, missing the cut in all three appearances here, though he’s a different player than he was a couple of years ago and, as already mentioned, missing the cut here the year before can often draw a winner.
It’s true he’s an inconsistent player, with five missed cuts littered across his season already, including last week in his home state at the US Open, but he’s also capable of putting on a show with five top 10s in his last seven made cuts, so if he makes the weekend you can bet he’ll make a push toward the top of the leader board.
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Rickie Fowler 50/1
As many look at the week after a major as a time for rest and recouperation, and others look at it as a chance to make an immediate bounce back, Rickie Fowler (50/1) is in a completely different camp having failed to qualify for the US Open and spent the weekend watching Jon Rahm bring it home from afar.
That extra week’s rest may come in handy for the American who has been going through what can only be described as a slump in recent years, though there are signs that he’s starting to return to form. He’s always been an attacking golfer, and that attack led him to finishes of 8th and 11th in the PGA Championship and Memorial, respectively.
He’s also achieved top-20s at the Texas Open and, more tellingly, at the Genesis back in February, which shows that even in his slumps he’s never far away from a top performance.
Jordan Spieth’s revival this year had similar signs to what Fowler is showing now, and after the announcement that he’s expecting a daughter later this year, that could really buoy him on to get back to his best.
Once one of the best putters in the world, these slower greens could be exactly what he needs to get back to winning ways.
He hasn’t played here since 2013 when he achieved a top-15 finish, though Johson came here off the back of a five-year absence last year to win, so Fowler is certainly worth a punt at the prices.
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ODDS ARE CORRECT AS OF 23/06/2020 HOWEVER ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS
