West Ham were extremely unfortunate not to come away with a point from Bramall Lane as Robert Snodgrass’s last gasp equaliser was cruelly ruled out by VAR after a Declan Rice hand ball in the build-up, while Everton were on the other end of a 1-0 result as Richarlison’s early goal was enough for the three points hosting Brighton.
That win for the Toffees means their only league defeat since the departure of Marco Silva has come by a narrow 2-1 margin away at the Champions as they’ve picked up a total of 14 points in those seven fixtures. However, 10 of those points have come at Goodison Park as they have still only won twice away all season.
West Ham experienced a bit of a manager bounce of their own dispatching the Cherries 4-0 at this ground in their last League outing here, though the Jury is still out on their improvement under David Moyes after being underwhelming against Sheffield United.
With the uncertainty around the home side’s improvement, and with Everton picking up some momentum for the first time this season, though have looked largely unconvincing away from home, this is a tough one to call which is reflected in the prices and so we’d like to avoid the outright.
Under 2.5 Goals
One significant improvement for the Merseyside Club that has been noticeable under Carlo Ancelotti is their ability to keep games tight.
Indeed, none of their five fixtures across all competitions under him have been separated by more than a solitary strike, and only away at the Champions have they conceded more than once in a fixture since Silva departed the club.
However, output seems to need addressing too. Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s brace at St James’ Park has been the only time the Toffees have scored two goals in a single league game since early December, and with West Ham conceding just the once so far under Moyes (due to a calamitous error from sub keeper David Martin), we can see this one being a tight affair and we’re happy to get behind the ‘Unders’.
While these two sides can’t use the excuse of an injury hit squad here, there are a couple of notable absentees. Alex Iwobi remains sidelined for the visitors, though with the likes of Bernard and Richarlison putting in decent displays of late it’s had to see what impact that has in this side.
Meanwhile, Moyes has confirmed attacking full-back Ryan Fredericks remains out with a hamstring injury, while Michail Antonio’s absence is detrimental to the way the Hammers like the play as their output will be hindered by his speed and power in the attacking third, only strengthening the case for a low scorer.
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