This has become something of a bogey fixture for Liverpool in recent years, as since Jurgen Klopp arrived at the club they’ve gone W2-D1-L2 away at Vicarage Road, with both those defeats coming by convincing 3-0 scorelines, including in their last meeting season before last.
Liverpool sit second in the table after their draw with Man City saw Chelsea leapfrog the pair before the international break. That’s now two stalemates on the bounce for the Reds, and three in their last five games as they’re showing signs of struggling to get over the line.
These are also the exact sort of matches that hindered Liverpool in their title defence last season, as they’ve gone just W3-D4-L1 up against promoted sides since the beginning of last season, with their two such victories last year coming by single goal margins on the opening day 4-3 thriller against Leeds that could have gone either way, while they required Alisson’s head to see off West Brom in the dying seconds in matchday 36 last year.
With Watford’s recent home record against the Reds, this is far from a foregone conclusion.
Watford And Liverpool To Draw
Claudio Ranieri is the latest figure on the Watford managerial merry-go-round, and will do a stellar job to see out the rest of the campaign at the helm.
This will be the Italian’s 13th club since he swapped Atletico Madrid for Chelsea back in 2000, and he has a very strong opening game record over those last 20 or so years.
Indeed, Ranieri has gone W8-D2-L2, going unbeaten with his three former Premier League sides Chelsea (draw), Leicester (win) and Fulham (win), and that manager bounce is something the visitors are certainly going to have to contend with here, leaving them far too short to get behind.
We wouldn’t get too carried away with Watford’s chances though, as ultimately if Liverpool are on their game they should take this one quite comfortably.
The Hornets have a poor record against the bigger sides in the league, and have gone W2-D2-L17 against sides in the top-six since the beginning of the 2018/19 season.
One of those victories was in the most recent of these fixtures though as they ended the Merseyside club’s chances of an invincible season, and while the visitors remain unbeaten across all competitions this season, their recent draws lead us to believe the value is in another one here.
On top of that, Ranieri has a decent home career record against Liverpool, going W4-D1-L1 from his time at Valencia, Chelsea, and Leicester so we’ll back the hosts to avoid defeat again here, even if they don’t end Liverpool’s unbeaten start to the campaign.
WATFORD AND LIVERPOOL TO DRAW