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A 1-1 draw in the first leg at the King Power saw Leicester dominate 70% of the possession and pop off six times as many shots on target than Villa.
They’ll probably feel a little unfortunate to have not come away with a win, with Tyrone Mings putting in a strong performance at the heart of Villa’s defense, even if they did only equalize in the 74th minute.
Dean Smith will be chuffed with his team’s victory hosting Watford in the Premier League last time out, which is certainly an improvement on the 6-1 hiding handed to them by Pep Guardiola’s Man City in their previous outing at Villa Park.
Inconsistency is crippling them on home turf, with the last time they won consecutive matches here across all competitions coming back in October, as they’ve since lost four of eight outings.
One of the successes over this period came over Liverpool’s ‘kids’ in the previous round of this tournament, while when the Foxes came to town in December Brendan Rodgers’ men ran out 4-1 victors, so we’re a little surprised to not see the visitors at a slightly shorter price.
Leicester will have an eye on their Saturday league fixture against fourth-placed Chelsea, but with eight points separating the sides, they’ll likely prioritize this great opportunity of reaching the League Cup final against a side battling it out down the lower extremities of the table.
They’ll also take confidence in having Rodgers in their camp, as following their 1-0 win at Brentford at the weekend, he remains unbeaten from his past 32 domestic cup games (W28-D4).
Leicester To Beat Villa
The Foxes have gone W8-D1-L2 from 11 road trips dating back to late October and it’s an impressive run given one of those defeats came at Etihad, while the other was at Turf Moor after Jamie Vardy missed a second half penalty to take the lead.
Moreover, that sole stalemate came at Goodison Park in the quarters of this tournament after two late strikes from Everton, though they still advanced on penalties and it’s going to take a serious performance from Dean Smith’s men to overturn them.
It’s hardly a surprise that recent poor results for the visitors coincided with the absence of Wilfred Ndidi, as both recent defeats to Southampton and Burnley were without him, as well as the stalemate in the first leg against Villa.
He looks like he could make a return for this one, as does Jamie Vardy, while even if the former England international doesn’t make it, Rodgers can still call upon Kelechi Iheanacho.
The Nigerian has averaged a goal or assist every 52 minutes this season, while that drops to every 29 minutes against Villa throughout his career, so there’s plenty of reason to get behind the visitors in the outright.
Leicester To Beat Aston Villa At 8/11
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