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Tottenham’s alarming slide continued with a defeat at West Ham last time out, which was their fifth loss in six league outings, though they had little problem easing to victory over Wolfsberger last week.
The Austrian outfit lack the quality to do real damage and although Jose Mourinho will likely ring the changes, his team should at least find some respite in Europe.
Tottenham have scored 16 times in four appearances at home in this season’s Europa League, beating Maccabi Haifa 7-2 in the play-offs before consecutive clean sheets over LASK Linz, Ludogorets and Royal Antwerp.
They were similarly efficient in attack last season in Europe as after receiving a 7-2 thrashing by eventual winners Bayern, they downed weaker sides Crvena Zvezda (5-0) and Olympiakos (4-2) at home in the Champions League group stages, before Leipzig knocked them out in the Last 16.
Gareth Bale stole the headlines in the first leg after setting Heung-min Son up for the opener and then scoring the second himself, but Lucas Moura was equally as impressive on the other flank.
His impressive solo goal in that game was his fourth from seven starts in Europe this term, while he added a goal at the weekend against West Ham, though we wouldn’t want to back him at this stage as he could drop to the bench to hand game time to others.
Tottenham Win To 1-0, 2-0, 2-1
Wolfsberger have only won three of nine fixtures over 90 minutes in 2021 so far (W3-D3-L3). Two of those victories came over bottom-half outfits domestically, while only one of them saw them triumph by a two-goal margin, so we’re not talking about a side in great form either.
In fact, they trail Austrian Bundesliga leaders Salzburg by 16 points after 18 games, down in fifth place, with little prospect of overturning the 4-1 defeat from last week.
Since the rebranding of the UEFA Cup to the Europa League in 2009/10, teams that have won by a minimum three-goal margin away in the first leg of knockout ties haven’t had too many issues in the return legs at home. They’re W15-D3-L2 as they won to nil in half of these, including nine 1-0 or 2-0 scorelines.
However, only two of 13 such clashes since 2014/15 have seen the winners from the first leg win by more than a single strike back at home.
Given Mourinho is set to hand rests to key players like Harry Kane, Heung-min Son and Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, we can envisage a similar outcome here.
Four of five such matches since 2017/18 have seen the winners form the first leg land either a 1-0 or 2-1 victory in the second, so the multibet covering those scorelines and the 2-0 appears to be built upon solid foundations.
Tottenham Win To 1-0, 2-0, 2-1 At 2/1
SPURS V WOLFSBERGER ODDS AVAILABLE HERE
ODDS ARE CORRECT AS OF 22/02/2020 HOWEVER ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS