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The brakes have been applied to Southampton’s surge up the table with three defeats from their last four, while including FA Cup matches, they’re W1-D1-L4 from their past six.
Scoring goals hasn’t been the issue though and the last two of those even saw Danny Ings rediscover his shooting boots following a four-game dry patch.
In any case, the Saints have found the net in all but two of their last 20 matches now, with Liverpool at Anfield the only side to shut them out in 12.
Bjorn Engels had a horror moment at the weekend for Villa and Tyrone Mings should recover in time to resume his place at the back, but Dean Smith’s side possess the division’s worst defence and even excluding a 6-1 defeat to Man City, they’ve still conceded 11 times in six league games.
The presence Mings offers improves their chances of avoiding a 10th defeat in 14 road trips, especially as Southampton hold the worst home record in the table, but any points are unlikely to be accompanied by a clean sheet.
Southampton First Half Result
Villa haven’t started well having trailed at the break in each of their last five. That could pose a problem given Southampton have led at half time in five out of nine, drawing at that point in the others, as they only failed to net during the opening 45 in two of those games.
Villa To Score In The Second Half
Eight of Villa’s 11 goals have come after the break, but having drawn a blank just once in nine over a full fixture, we’d expect both teams to score here.
It’s happened in each of Villa’s last nine in all competitions, though the price isn’t as big as we’d like, while results have been mixed and we wouldn’t want to touch the match outcome.
Both Teams To Score And Either Team To Win
Ings is a prime contender to register at some stage and now has 11 goals in 13 league matches where he played at least half an hour, demonstrating consistency by netting at least once in 10 of them.
That includes a brace in the reverse of this fixture, but at short odds he’s probably best left alone in the betting.
We do however like the look of both teams to score and either team to win. Stalemates have been in short supply for these two sides, with the Saints experiencing just one in 13 and Villa nearly the same at one in 12.
This bet has landed in 14 of the combined 24 games (one was against each other).
0.5pts: Southampton (First Half Result) At 23/20
Aston Villa To Score In The Second Half (Yes) At 23/20
Both Teams To Score And Either Team To Win At 13/10
ALL ABOVE PRICES ARE CORRECT AS OF 15:30 19/02/2020 AND ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS
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