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It was Southampton that came out on top in this exact fixture at St Mary’s Stadium on Saturday in FA Cup fourth round.
A low drilled cross by Kyle Walker-Peters was turned in by the returning centre back Gabriel in 24th minute, and although Arsenal threatened in the second half with a couple of big chances missed, it is the Saints who advance through to play Wolves in the next round.
Mikel Arteta made seven changes for that encounter though, and they’ll likely be starting all their key players that are available this time around.
Indeed, the absence of in-form players Thomas Partey, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Emile Smith Rowe and Bukayo Saka from the off was certainly apparent, and although the latter was introduced in the second half to create a few big chances, they couldn’t convert.
Both Teams To Score (No)
The Saints have now won three matches on the bounce at this stadium across all tournaments, with the other two encounters coming against a misfiring Liverpool outfit 1-0 and Shrewsbury Town 2-0.
A slight concern for them though would be the lack of goals, scoring just once from their three league ties here since mid-December, although they did also only leak one the other end, and we’d be surprised if this turned into a goals fest.
In fact, one side or the other has failed to score in eight of their nine matches here since the start of October.
Arsenal have had similar outcomes in their recent matches, with both teams failing to net in all their last six across all tournaments. Moreover, that has been the case in six of their seven trips to opposition in the league since October, and at the current prices, a repeat of that looks the bet of the match.
Both sides proved how robust they are in their recent cup encounter at the weekend. It was, in fact, the first goal the Gunners had conceded in 508 minutes of football, while only Leicester and Man City have managed to net against the Saints from their last seven outings across all competitions, seeing fewer than three goals in each of them.
To further the argument for fewer goals will be the likely absence of the visitors’ captain Aubameyang.
The striker had three goals from as many games across all competitions, including a fine brace against Newcastle and the Southampton will be hoping he doesn’t make a return.
Moreover, all three head-to-heads since the start of 2020 between these two sides have featured a maximum of two strikes, with both sides winning one to nil and with either side capable of grinding out a result, we’ll stick to the goals market.