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Scotland have battled to a pair of stalemates in their opening qualifiers, coming from behind twice in the 2-2 draw with Austria and then once again as they rescued a 1-1 draw in Israel.
However, a win is a must here if they’re to challenge those two sides to finish behind likely group winners Denmark.
The Faroe Islands have only lost once in their past four outings, though with three stalemates against fellow minnows Latvia, Malta and Moldova, a defeat here seems a nigh on certainty.
They did record a shock opener in their 3-1 defeat to Austria last time out, but across their past nine defeats, the only other side they registered a consolation against was in a friendly with Lithuania.
Although unlikely to add another goal here, the visitors will fancy their chances of avoiding an abject humiliation.
Even in Euro qualifiers against Spain, they only went down 4-1 at home and 4-0 on the road. Scotland certainly don’t have the firepower to match La Roja, scoring more than a single goal in just one of their past eight appearances now, while netting just six times across these games in total.
Scotland did manage a 6-0 victory hosting San Marino in the Euro qualifiers, but their opponents that day are over 100 placed below the Faroe Island’s in FIFA’s world rankings.
In fact, they’re even listed above Kazakhstan, who Scotland beat 3-1 in those same qualifiers under Steve Clark and lost 3-0 to on the road under former boss Alex McLeish.
Scotland To Win And Under 3.5 Goals
A modest victory should be in store then. On home turf alone, Scotland are W5-D3-L2 under current management, as the two defeats were inflicted by Russia and Belgium.
Israel earnt a draw on two occasions, as did Austria in the current international break, but Cyprus, San Marino, Kazakhstan, Slovakia and the Czech Republic have all been beaten.
Five of Scotland’s seven wins under Steve Clarke have finished either 1-0 or 2-1, and the home win coupled with under 3.5 goals makes sense here.
Seven of Scotland’s last eight matches have featured fewer than three goals, while five of these games saw just a single strike or none at all, so a workmanlike performance is to be expected.
Another factor that should help keep the scores down is that Scotland have been slow starters in recent times.
They’ve managed just a single first-half strike across their past eight matches, though we wouldn’t be confident enough to back the visitors to make it to half time unscathed.