Palace are enjoying a good season this term despite some tipping them for the drop before a ball was kicked, with talisman Wilfried Zaha seemingly on his way out at that point.
However, they haven’t gone far in domestic cups in recent times and at a short price in the outright appear worth taking on here.
The Eagles crashed out at the first hurdle on penalties to League Two outfit Colchester at Selhurst Park in this season’s Carabao Cup, while Championship sides Middlesbrough (1-0) and Bristol City (4-1) knocked them out of that tournament in the previous two campaigns.
The FA Cup has proven more fruitful as only Premier League teams have knocked them out in recent years, though they haven’t faced any others from the Championship in the last few seasons and wins over lower league Grimsby (1-0) and Doncaster (2-0) last term when fielding strong line-ups were nothing special.
By contrast, Derby have claimed a fair few scalps in recent times and certainly haven’t been at all embarrassed up against top-flight opposition.
Derby +1 Asian Handicap
Their 2018/19 League Cup campaign saw them beat Man Utd at Old Trafford on penalties following a 2-2 draw, before then succumbing to a 3-2 loss to Chelsea at Stamford Bridge in the next round.
Meanwhile, in the FA Cup, they only went down 2-1 to Brighton last season after enjoying a pair of 2-2 stalemates with Southampton, again triumphing in a shootout.
In fact, over 90 minutes, the Rams are W1-D5-L3 versus Premier League teams in domestic cup action since January 2017, with two of those defeats against ‘Big Six’ outfits and only one by more than a single goal.
Although we’d like to take the Eagles on here, it is impossible however to ignore Derby’s form on the road.
They’ve lost eight of 12 winless trips since mid-August, though we think they can pick up another stalemate here.
Excluding ‘Big Six’ outfits, Championship teams have lost six of 10 winless away matches in this competition since 2017/18 when facing Premier League sides, and while not great, cup competitions can often throw league form out the window.
At the prices, Derby look better placed considering the respective form of these two teams in cup action over recent seasons.
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