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It’s worrying times for Newcastle at the minute with them plummeting down the table at a rate of knots.
It was only at Christmas that that they were up in 12th place in the table with a nice cushion to the relegation zone, but after a run of two wins from their last 14, losing as many as nine has now put them very much in the mix for the drop as third favourites, at a current price of 11/10.
Villa have had some struggles of their own without their key man Jack Grealish. They’ve gone just W1-D1-L5 in his absence for the starting line-up since the beginning of last season, but fortunately he’s back to training pain free now and could well make a return for this one.
That includes a recent 1-0 defeat to Sheffield Utd and a goalless draw to Wolves in their two most recent outings. They are a respectable W6-D2-L2 form their last 10 outings when excluding the current top seven breakaway sides though, and we’d expect them to bounce back.
It’s probably no surprise that this fixture has seen fewer than three goals in their three meetings since the start of last season, with Villa winning to nil in two of three of them while they drew the other.
Villa To Win Multibet 1-0, 2-0, Or 2-1
If you could handpick three players to not get injured for this Newcastle outfit it would be the current sidelined trio of Callum Wilson, Allan Saint-Maximin and Miguel Almiron.
Together this term, they have 16 goals and nine assists between them, which when you consider the Magpies have scored just 27 times, that’s a substantial proportion of their goals.
They’ve lost either 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1 in five of their last eight without Saint-Maximin, scored just twice in their six winless games without Wilson, losing four of them, and netted in just two of their last six winless outings without Almiron too (D2-L4).
Dean Smith’s men have won to nil in all but one of their 12 wins this term, as the exception came hosting Liverpool at the start of the season. Six of those finished exactly 1-0, and this has all the makings of another similar result.
They may only be W4-D2-L3 against the current bottom six teams, but each of those defeats came either against a form team or without Grealish, and Steve Bruce’s men certainly don’t look in form to say the least.
Just two wins in 18 matches now for the hosts across all competitions, losing 12 when including extra time is a serious worry, and they should be there for the taking this weekend.
We would prefer a little bit of cover on this bet though, considering Newcastle have only failed to score in three of their 13 league outings at St James’ Park this season, and the best bet looks to be the multiscore.
Villa To Win Multibet 1-0, 2-0, Or 2-1 At 15/8
NEWCASTLE V ASTON VILLA ODDS AVAILABLE HERE
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ODDS ARE CORRECT AS OF 09/03/2020 HOWEVER ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS
