Juventus have lost their past two road trips at Napoli and more worryingly Hellas Verona, but it’s easy to see why they start at near evens to take down Stefano Pioli’s side at the San Siro.
The Rossoneri’s seven-game unbeaten run that coincided with the return of Zlatan Ibrahimovic came shuddering to a halt on Sunday in the Milan derby, with that the first time they’d faced one of the current top five teams in Serie A since being humiliated 5-0 by Atalanta back in December.
Juventus To Beat AC Milan
In fact, Milan have lost all six matches against such teams this season, while they hold an atrocious record against Juve in recent times.
The Old Lady have won 16 of the past 19 head-to-heads over 90 minutes since 2013, including all eight since 2017, so are very appealing at marginally odds-against to deliver once more.
Although Milan fail to measure up to the top teams, they’ve undoubtedly increased their output since Zlatan rejoined and he found his way onto the scoresheet in the previous round against Torino.
More impressively, the big swede bagged both a goal and an assist in the Milan derby, helping Milan become just the second team in Inter’s last 16 matches where the Nerazzurri have conceded two goals – the other was Barcelona.
Juventus To Beat Milan 2-1
Maurizio Sarri will be glad that Giorgio Chiellini is close to a return with the veteran having spent five months on the sidelines, but the 35-year-old is only back in partial training and won’t be seen in action until later this month.
Both teams have scored in eight of Juventus’ last 11 games as all three exceptions came at home, and with the same occurring in all but two of their past 13 road trips, as well as seven of the last eight, we’d expect their hosts to register in defeat.
Juve aren’t in the habit of winning big away from home and they’ve triumphed by a two-goal margin just twice in 20 trips dating back into early April.
Seven of the past 12 have seen one team or the other win by a 2-1 scoreline, with Juve accounting for five of these, so it should come as no surprise if it lands again.
Although the visitors are used to winning, they often produce better results in the second half as their opposition tires. They’ve been level at the break in 12 of their past 14 away from home, as have Milan in seven of nine in designated home fixtures, while across the past five head-to-heads nine of Juve’s 10 goals have come after the restart.
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