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A difficult League Cup semi-final encounter in midweek saw Man Utd come up short against their local Manchester rivals. We wouldn’t be too alarmed by that though given the Citizens look to be coming into some form, while both their goals came from set-pieces.
Watford on the other hand, have been ticking along nicely since their relegation from the Premier League last season, currently sitting in the play-off spots with 37 points from their 22 outings.
However, just one win from their last four is cause for concern when you’re about to play a team joint-top of England’s top flight, and they could well be exposed.
The Red Devils have reached at least the quarters of this tournament in each of the last three seasons, finishing runner-up in 2018 and made the semis last season before bowing out to Chelsea.
Interestingly, over their opening three rounds of the tournament over that period (Rounds 3, 4 & 5), they won nine of their 10 unbeaten outings, conceding just once across all of them.
The form is on the side of Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s men too, having won nine of their 11 unbeaten outings domestically prior to that recent defeat to Man City.
That has seen them make a charge for the Premier League title now, but this competition will no doubt be of almost equal importance and we’d expect to see them put a strong team out.
Man United To Win To Nil
Three straight league wins at Old Trafford against Leeds, Wolves and Aston Villa has proven their quality at this stadium, and in fact, having conceded just 10 goals from their last 11 games here across all competitions since mid-October, with nearly half of those being leaked in the Champions League, they’re starting to look extremely difficult to beat and score against.
In fact, they shut out all of Chelsea, Leipzig, West Brom, Man City and Wolves over this period here, and we’re inclined to think they might do the same to a much weaker side in Watford.
You only have to look at the Hornets’ away form to see that they’re in trouble. They’ve gone W1-D6-L5 on the road this term across all competitions, netting just seven goals and a maximum of one in each, and when considering that’s come against much weaker teams than what they’re up against this weekend, this looks like it can only go one way for us.
Since the start of 2017/18, when Premier League teams have hosted Championship sides, they’ve won to nil in 17 of 28 such matches, and at odds-against we certainly like the value of Man Utd to do just that.