The Citizens have gone W9-L3 since the restart, winning all six games on home soil and more impressively conceding just the solitary strike in that time and scoring a whopping 24.
However, aside from Liverpool none of those sides hold a candle to Zinedine Zidane’s charges, who have become specialists in this competition having won it three times under the Frenchman already.
Having returned to his post in March last year, Zizou won the title this year as Madrid set their best defensive record for 30 years, as well as having the most goalscorers in a single season (21), signalling a shift in the former reliance on Cristiano Ronaldo.
We therefore can’t see City keeping their seventh clean sheet in eight matches at the Etihad, though they should have enough to see off the Spaniards.
Man City To Win And Both Teams To Score
That rings especially true considering Los Blancos will be without star centre back Sergio Ramos after the Spaniard was sent off late on in the first leg, while Marcelo is also a doubt for this clash having missed the season run in, so it’s difficult to see how they’re going to keep Sterling and co. quiet.
Astonishingly, Madrid have lost five of the last six champions League matches that Ramos has been absent for, with the exception coming against Club Brugge in the group stage this season.
This run includes 3-0, 4-1, and 3-1 defeats to PSG, Ajax and Juventus respectively, and with City holding just as much firepower as those sides, we can’t see this going the way of the visitors.
Sergio Aguero will still be unavailable for City here, though Gabriel Jesus isn’t exactly a poor replacement and the Brazilian netted in the first leg.
The 23-year-old has scored four in his last six matches, while in league football Man City’s goals per game increases 31% with him in the starting line up since the beginning of 2018/19 and as much as 42% this term alone.
Everything points to a home win, though we can’t expect the visitors to draw a blank with the array of attacking talent they possess, especially when they need at least two goals and so the match result and both teams to score holds the best value.