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Dortmund suffered a monumental setback this weekend as they lost to a late goal against fourth-placed Eintracht Frankfurt, leaving them seven points off a Champions League spot.
Speculation surrounding star man Erling Haaland’s future was already at fever pitch and failure to qualify for this competition next year would make it all the more likely the Norwegian will depart this summer.
Man City are of course one of those clubs heavily linked with his signature, and it’s easy to see why any striker would want to play for them given the number of chances they create.
It’s now 26 wins from 27 appearances for Pep Guardiola’s men, including 2-0 successes over decent outfits Gladbach, Everton and Leicester in their last three. They’ve scored at least twice in 22 of these games in total, while 21 of those victories came by a minimum two-goal margin.
Both Teams To Score
City won both legs against Gladbach by that 2-0 scoreline, but fellow German outfit Dortmund are expected to pose them more problems at the back.
Any side featuring Haaland represents a threat, though Dortmund are without sidekick Jadon Sancho, who has been ruled out of the first leg at the very least with a muscle complaint.
Dortmund are W1-D2-L2 since the winger has been sidelined, though while they did manage to score exactly twice in each of these fixtures, including matches against the likes of Bayern and Sevilla, they also conceded at least twice in four of them as well.
Beyond that, Edin Terzic remains without central midfielder Axel Witsel, centre-back Dan-Axel Zagadou and young hotshot Youssoufa Moukoko.
However, Guardiola is in the fortunate position of having a fully fit squad to choose from, and with such rich resources at his disposal, was able to start the likes of John Stones, Joao Cancelo, Raheem Sterling, Phil Foden and Ilkay Gundogan on the bench versus Leicester this weekend.
City should be reasonably fresh then, and momentum has a way of carrying teams through tired legs in any case. Dortmund’s myriad defensive deficiencies should be exposed here, and both teams to score has landed in nine of their past 13 Champions league games, with three of the exceptions coming when registering clean sheets against weaker outfits Club Brugge (twice) and Zenit in the group stages.
Man City -1.5 Asian Handicap
Although Dortmund will pose a threat to City’s defence, the hosts have manged four consecutive clean sheets, while they’ve won by a minimum two-goal margin in six of seven outings.
Meanwhile, six of Dortmund’s seven defeats in the Champions League since 2018 have come by at least two clear goals, with five finishing either 2-0 or 3-1, leaving Man City on the -1.5 Asian handicap an attractive proposition.