Lyon were well organized against Man City and must be respected having previously dumped out Juventus, but this should be the end of the road for them. Aside from a controversial VAR decision, Raheem Sterling’s awful miss and a fumble from Ederson, most of all they benefited from Pep Guardiola’s tinkering in their semi-final.
The Spaniard has often been criticized for over-thinking his tactics in the knockout rounds and opted for a three-man defence on Saturday, in addition to two defensive-minded midfielders.
That left creative forces David Silva, Bernardo Silva and Phil Foden on the bench, with only the former seeing any action at all as he entered the fray at 84 minutes.
Hansi Flick is unlikely to tamper with his well-oiled Bayern machine and they won’t lack spark, firepower or confidence after putting eight past Barcelona, which is the first time anyone’s done that to the Catalan’s since Sevilla in 1946. Quique Setien’s defence had been considered highly suspect prior to the 8-2 humiliation, but the Bavarians were irresistible and their output in 2020 can’t be ignored.
Bayern To Win And Both Teams To Score
24 games have brought 23 wins and a draw, with the last 19 all ending in victories. The German giants scored a minimum three times on 16 occasions, including at least four goals in each of their past four outings.
These most recent encounters weren’t against meek opponents either as they bowled over a Wolfsburg side that finished seventh in the Bundesliga, fifth-placed Leverkusen in the DFB-Pokal final, and Chelsea in their last-16 second leg as they racked up an aggregate 7-1 scoreline against the Blues.
Rudi Garcia’s men will be dependent on another herculean defensive shift and individual brilliance up front if they’re to stand a chance of progressing any further.
Captain Memphis Depay will hope for a more influential performance here, having been hooked for the final 15 minutes against City for Moussa Dembele, and the latter will hope to return to the starting line-up after his brace from the bench took him to 24 goals for the season.
If there is a chink in Bayern’s armour to be exploited it might be at the back. The Bundesliga outfit were imperious defensively between late February and the end of May, keeping seven clean sheets from eight appearances, though both teams have scored in their subsequent nine matches.
Lyon won’t be opening up until they have to, but they’re always capable on the counter and at some point, a Bayern goal is going to change the picture.
Bayern To Win And Over 3.5 Goals
Lyon had struggled for output prior to the coronavirus pandemic, but they were without attacking midfielder Jeff-Reine Adelaide and star man Depay, both of whom have since returned to action.
The 2019/20 Ligue 1 campaign was abandoned early and in Lyon’s three matches back, they’ve had a goalless stalemate with PSG in the Coupe de la Ligue final, but found the net in their second leg with Juventus and three times when facing City.
The French side have in fact found the net in eight of their nine Champions League matches this season, as well as 15 of 17 since the start of last term. Facing elite teams Man City, Barcelona and Juventus they’ve scored in an impressive six of seven matches over this period, so a consolation effort should be on the cards.
Bayern & Over 3.5 Goals also appears profitable to our eyes. Lyon’s performances suggest they’ll bag a goal, but even if they don’t their heavyweight opponents do not appear in the mood to relent.
Star striker Robert Lewandowski will also be going full steam to the final whistle, as his 14 goals in this tournament still leaves him in with a chance of toppling Cristiano Ronaldo’s record 17-goal tally set in 2013/14.
Bayern To Win 4-1
We certainly wouldn’t expect Bayern to concede too many, with the Munich outfit only conceding more than once in two of their last eight fixtures.
Given they’ve scored exactly four times in three of their last four, we’ll also have a little pop at the 4-1 correct score.