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Liverpool look to be turning the screw a bit this season as they backed up their impeccable home record with their first away win in six games, coming in some fashion as they dismantled the Palace defence seven times en route to a win to nil.
The victory leaves them as the league’s top scorers with 36 seven more than next best Chelsea, though their point gap at the top could be shortened if Man United and Aston Villa win their respective games in hand.
We’d be surprised to see a slip up here however against an out of sorts Baggies side. Sam Allardyce is now at the helm but that didn’t exactly have the immediate defensive impact that fans would’ve hoped for as their side got run ragged by Aston Villa, and they won’t be too confident heading to Merseyside for this one off the back of that defeat though there’s a small glimmer of hope that they will be clinging to.
Liverpool are on an astonishing 66 match unbeaten run at Anfield as they chase down Chelsea’s 86 game streak, with the last manager to beat the Reds away from home being none other than Sam Allardyce himself back when he was in charge of Crystal Palace.
Big Sam has also gone unbeaten in his last four games against the Reds (W1-D3) going back to February 2016 as he often manages to stifle their potent attacking force.
West Brom +3 Handicap
The head-to-heads offer encouragement to the visitors too, going W4-D6-L5 against the Reds over the last 10 years, while they also beat them at this ground in the FA Cup back in 2018.
Of course, Liverpool have come on leaps and bounds over the last couple of seasons and we’d still expect them to pick up maximum points here, though the bookies may have underestimated the impact ‘Big Sam’ can have on sides and there looks to be value in getting West Brom onside here.
Firstly, none of the last 10 meetings between the two across all competitions have been separated by more than a single strike gong back to February 2014, while this season’s form would suggest the handicap presents itself nicely for the Baggies.
Indeed, despite a poor string of results only two of their last 12 games have seen them lose by more than two strikes, with both coming on home soil and despite being winless on the road this season, they’ve covered the +3 handicap in each of their last six trips, including with an impressive 1-1 draw at the Etihad last time out.
Liverpool are known to rack up some big scores from time to time, though they’ve only managed to overcome a +3 handicap in two of their 12 matches at home this season and at a long enough price we’re happy to get behind the visitors to make this closer than anticipated.