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Man City have shortened into 1/8 to lift the Premier League title this season from 1/4 after they beat Burnley 2-0 midweek, while rivals Liverpool limped to a 1-0 defeat hosting Brighton.
The Reds missed Sadio Mane and Alisson badly in that recent defeat, losing back-to-back matches now at Anfield following a run of 68 unbeaten fixtures here prior to that (W55-D13).
To make things worse, those losses came against bottom-six teams with the other being Burnley, while their last four matches here dating back to Christmas have all been winless, as their solitary strike across those came against relegation bound West Brom.
Liverpool And Man City To Draw
The Citizens are riding a wave of form at the minute, winning each of their last 13 outings across all competitions.
That didn’t look likely to happen after Leicester beat them 5-2 in their second outing of the season, but they’ve done superbly well to regroup.
Those impressive performances have come without star striker Sergio Aguero, who’s played just 7% of their total minutes this term, while Kevin de Bruyne has missed the last three matches through injury, and is set to miss this one.
Without the Belgian midfielder in the side City have struggled since the beginning of last season. Indeed, they’ve gone W6-D1-L4 from their 11 he hasn’t started in that time, beating Bournemouth, a below-par Arsenal side, Sheffield Utd, West Brom and Burnley twice.
Moreover, that includes going just W2-D1-L3 on the road. That compares to a record of W34-D7-L7 in the 48 he started over that time, netting nearly a goal extra per game on average.
Although the likes of Ilkay Gundogan, Bernardo Silva and Phil Foden are performing in his absence, the Belgian will be missed.
Under 2.5 Goals
Liverpool may be out of touch, but they’ve never lost three league games on the bounce at Anfield in the Premier League, while you have to go back to their defeat hosting West Ham in September 1963 for the last time that happened.
Furthermore, their record against the Citizens here speaks for itself, with the last time Man City won here coming back in May 2003.
Jurgen Klopp’s men have still managed to keep things tight at the back in Virgil van Dijk’s absence. Indeed, they’ve kept their opponents to a maximum of one goal in all 17 outings since the centre backs injury against Everton in October, including just six first half goals.
The visitors, on the other hand, possess the best centre back partnership in the Premier League by quite some distance at the minute. John Stones and Ruben Dias have conceded just one goal in 11 games when starting together.
For all their success though, the visitors have still only gone W3-D3-L2 against the top half of the table this term, with each of their victories coming over the three teams at the bottom of that bracket – Arsenal, Villa & Chelsea – prior to Spurs hosting the Blues on Thursday night.
Interestingly, this is the shortest price City have been when travelling to Anfield in the league that we have data for (since 2000/01), and we just can’t be getting behind them considering that.