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When it was announced the first leg was to be in Budapest, that seemed to give Liverpool a clear advantage by Leipzig not being afforded the luxury of playing at their home ground, though now this match has also been relocated to the same stadium, balancing out the tie.
Liverpool take a 2-0 lead into this game, and in truth may consider themselves fortunate not to have to play this at home considering their recent form.
As is common knowledge now, The Reds have lost six successive home games for the first time in the club’s history, breaking the record they set just last week against Chelsea, so playing away from Anfield in this leg might be a blessing in disguise.
However, it’s not just at home that their form doesn’t live up to the billing, as they’re currently on a run of W5-D3-L9 across all venues and competitions, with two of those wins coming against rock bottom Sheffield United and Aston Villa’s youth team, so there’s certainly hope for Leipzig here.
The German Outfit are on fire domestically, winning eight successive matches in either the Bundesliga or DFB-Pokal, with six of those wins coming to nil.
Somehow that’s not quite enough for them to top the table at the moment as Bayern Munich have been their usual scintillating selves, though Leipzig are just two points off the pace and have a real chance at the title this year.
Leipzig Draw No Bet
That factor may come into the question in this tie, as many Leipzig fans may feel that the Bundesliga is a more realistic target at this stage.
However, the form that they’re on at the moment and Liverpool’s current state only gives us reason to back the ‘away’ win here, even if not for them to qualify into the quarters.
Draws aren’t exactly part and parcel of either team’s recent form, with neither playing out a stalemate since they both drew on the weekend of the 16th/17th of January, with none of the combined 23 games since ending all square.
Also, with the objectives very clear in the second leg, it’s unsurprising to see that there is a lower percentage of draws in these fixtures in the Champions League, with one side or the other often needing to be more attacking than in a first leg.
There’s been a near 3% drop in draws in such games since the 1998/99 season, which is a lot considering the volume of games, and therefore the draw no bet market appeals for the Leipzig win here at an odds-against price.