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The Eagles have proven something of a bogey team for Liverpool in recent years, most memorably as they came from three goals down to drive the final nail into the Reds’ ill-fated title bid under Brendan Rodgers in 2013/14.
However, Liverpool are an improved outfit since then, winning seven of eight head-to-heads dating back to March 2016, including each of the past five since the beginning of 2017/18.
These have largely been close affairs though, with the teams separated by more than a single strike in just one of the most recent six meetings.
Liverpool were hardly firing on al cylinders as they were held to a goalless stalemate by Everton on Sunday, though the Merseyside derby has often seen a low output at the sharp end in recent times.
Nonetheless, the break appears to have scuppered some of their momentum and with Palace in excellent shape defensively, there’s reason to think this will be another tight encounter.
Under 2.5 Goals
Indeed, Palace have now produced wins to nil in each of their last four outings, though of course it should be noted that these came over bottom-half sides Newcastle, Brighton, Watford and Bournemouth.
The 2-0 triumph over a listless Cherries side was the most emphatic, with the others finishing 1-0, and Palace certainly have a problem finding goals with Norwich the only side to hit fewer this term. In fact, 15 of their last 18 matches in all competitions have now seen fewer than three goals, as eight witnessed just the solitary strike or none at all.
Liverpool last ran riot at the start of February as they downed Southampton 4-0, courtesy of three second-half efforts, but they’ve failed to win by more than a single goal in nine subsequent matches across all tournaments.
The first of these may have seen their Under 23’s take on Shrewsbury in the FA Cup, while there were also a pair of clashes with Atletico Madrid and one with Chelsea, but they still recorded narrow league wins over Norwich, West Ham and Bournemouth during this run, as well as suffering defeat at Watford.
Palace’s winning run should come to an end here though. They’ve been highly effective against the weaker teams to secure their mid-table position, but excluding results against the bottom eight, they’re a poor W2-D5-L8 this season, with just one win from the last 12 such matches.
Limited to the teams above them in the table now, they’ve lost five of six winless matches since October, though the game was still goalless at half-time in four of those defeats.
Draw/Liverpool HT/FT, Liverpool Win (Multibet Exact Score)
The Reds have been level at the break in five of six league outings now, producing Draw/Liverpool HT/FT doubles against Southampton, Norwich and West Ham.
Meanwhile, Palace have been all square after the opening 45 in five of their last seven defeats, so there’s a good chance of that happening again – as it did in their 2-1 defeat during the reverse fixture.
However, with eight of Palace’s 10 defeats this term coming by 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1 scorelines, the multibet exact score market appears highly attractive as well, with a modest home victory the likely outcome.
0.5pts: Under 2.5 Goals At 23/20
1pt: Draw/Liverpool HT/FT At 14/5
1pt: 1-0, 2-0, 2-1 Liverpool Win (Multibet Exact Score) At 8/5
LIVERPOOL V CRYSTAL PALACE ODDS AVAILABLE HERE
ODDS ARE CORRECT AS OF 23 JUNE HOWEVER ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS
