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Liverpool have reached 70 points from a possible 72 already this season having defeated West Ham at the London Stadium on Wednesday evening, while a victory here followed by a win away at bottom side Norwich would see them surpass Man United’s title winning points tally in 1996/97, despite having played 12 games fewer.
While it seems a shoe in now that the Reds will pick up their first ever Premier League title, it’s hard to anticipate when, or even if, a dip in results might come, though a team like Southampton can pose a serious threat.
Indeed, the Saints have lost just once in their last nine matches across all competitions (W6-D2-L1), picking up wins over Leicester, Chelsea and Spurs in that time, while one poor second half was enough to allow Wolves to overturn their two goal advantage going into the break.
Ralph Hasenhuttl has finally picked his side up after a torrid opening to the season and they now sit above Arsenal in the top half of the table. In fact, over the past eight games only Liverpool and Man City are in better form and we feel the Reds might be worth taking on in one form or another.
Both Teams To Score
Liverpool have been unstoppable at home so far, winning all 14 matches, while achieving W/W double results in a whopping 13 of these, though there’s a case to be made against them relinquishing a goal in this one.
Jurgen Klopp’s men have improved dramatically at the back of late, conceding just once in their last 19 halves of football, which has certainly been a product of the return of Joe Gomez to the starting lineup.
However, only the Citizens and Leicester have scored more than Southampton in the league over the past six matches, while the visitors have now scored in all 11 trips since the opening day of the season.
Despite Liverpool’s defensive resolve, the southern side will undoubtedly be knocking on the door at times and so the both teams to score market looks to appeal at just a shade shorter than evens.
Southampton +2 Handicap
With it conceivable that the Saints will score, we somewhat doubt the hosts will blow them off the park.
Indeed, since their opening day 3-0 defeat at Turf Moor, Hasenhuttl’s side have only lost three road games, all coming by narrow 2-1 scorelines, including against free scoring Man City.
With Liverpool failing to score more than twice in any of their last six encounters, the handicap market looks to hold value and we’re happy to get behind the Saints to remain within a goal of the runaway leaders.
To further that argument, the Reds will be without Sadio Mane following his hamstring strain against Wolves last week.
Indeed, their win percentage drops 16% to 57% in the 28 he’s failed to start since joining in 2016, whilst also scoring 8% fewer goals on average too.
Southampton +2 handicap At EVS
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