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The Foxes reached their third FA Cup quarter-final in four years on Wednesday night with a 1-0 win over an in-form Brighton side, though their main focus for the season should be maintaining their place in the top four and a victory over fourth placed Liverpool here will go a long way to doing so.
Things are not all rosy in the Reds camp at the moment with them having won just two of their last nine matches to leave them just one point clear of fifth placed Chelsea, and with Spurs, Everton and Aston Villa all having games in hand, they may have a real struggle to keep in the top four unless they see a sharp turn in results.
The 4-1 defeat to Man City was a real low point for Liverpool under Jurgen Klopp as it was the first time the Merseyside club have lost three successive home league games since 1963, though it was their only defeat in 10 games against the current top-eight sides this season and despite their poor form, they certainly shouldn’t be discounted.
Liverpool’s character has been a staple of the Klopp reign so far and we’d be surprised if they were to just crumble. They’ve won six of the last seven head-to-heads, with the last three coming by an aggregate 9-1.
World class players like Sadio Mane and Mohammed Salah are never far away from the goals, though we’d be cautious about getting behind them on the 1X2 market at their price considering the quality of their hosts.
Over 3.5 Goals
While neither defence has been especially bad this season, they’ve been far from resolute. Rogers’ charges have conceded an average of 1.83 goals per game at home to current top-half sides this season, while the visitors have kept just three clean sheets in 13 games against the top-11 sides this season, which is poor by their standards.
The quality of attacking talent on both sides should shine through here and we’d expect goals. Eight of the last nine head-to-heads have seen ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ land, with half of those seeing ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ come in too. The lack of an established centre-back for Liverpool will only help the case for more goals, and at a long price we’re happy to go for the more risky ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ for this game.