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Many had predicted that with a combination of the physical demands Marcelo Bielsa places on his squad, as well as a congested fixture list owing to coronavirus, his Leeds side would run out of steam as the campaign draws to a close.
However, that hasn’t been the case and they’re ending the season in strong fashion. They’ll be seeking a fourth consecutive win as they host a deflated West Brom outfit, while they’ve lost just once in 10 appearances (W6-D3-L1) as this spell included stalemates with top sides Chelsea, Liverpool and Man Utd.
By contrast, the Baggies are without a victory in six matches, losing four of these, which includes each of their past three outings versus Arsenal, Liverpool and West Ham.
They have been registering goals though, with both teams scoring in each of their last five, while there’s been a minimum of three strikes in seven of eight appearances since the start of April as these averaged 3.75 goals per game.
Leeds To Win And Over 2.5 Goals
Matheus Pereira has been the key source of inspiration and the Brazilian is ending the campaign in fine form.
He’s managed six goals and three assists across these eight games, including four goals and two assists from four road trips as only Leicester kept him at bay.
However, at odds on to score, we’d leave him alone in the goalscoring markets.
The final day of the season does however often throw up high-scoring encounters. In the previous five seasons (2015/16 -2019/20), over 2.5 goals has landed in 52% of matches over the first 37 gameweeks, compared to 64% on the final matchday, while there’s been a jump in over 3.5 goals from 30% to 46%.
Leeds have won 12 of 15 matches against teams 13th or below in the table this season, including seven of the past eight.
At Elland Road alone, they’ve won six of seven such matches this term, as these averaged 3.4 goals per game, while no doubt the prosect of playing in front of a crowd again should provide an additional boost.
Leeds won reverse fixture 5-0 and all the signs appear to suggest another win with plenty of entertainment. Nine of Leeds’ past 11 victories have seen over 2.5 goals land, while each of West Brom’s past four defeats have also seen at least three strikes.