Getafe v Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid remain unbeaten this season and although they’ve draw three of their last four, these have come against Villarreal, Porto and Athletic Bilbao, keeping clean sheets in their past two outings. Diego Simeone’s side might not be quite the same clean-sheet monster of previous years, but old habits die hard and it would be a surprise if their rearguard was breached here.
Getafe have lost all five games so far and managed just one goal, and even if that strike came against Barcelona, it’s worth noting that the Catalans have long been a side that tend to excel more at the sharp end than at the back, already shipping seven goals from three league games and getting thumped 3-0 at home by Bayern in Europe.
Getafe’s poor record stretches back further than the start of this campaign and they’ve only won twice in 18 fixtures since the start of March, losing eight of 10 since May as they drew a blank in eight of them as well. Atletico haven’t even conceded a goal in 19 head-to-heads with Getafe across all competitions since 2012, winning 13 of 14 since the 2013/14 season, so the win to nil appears a highly probable outcome.
ATLETICO TO WIN TO NIL
Sevilla v Valencia
Valencia suffered their first defeat of the season last time out as Real Madrid hit back with a late double from Vinicius Junior and Karim Benzema, but had won three of four outings prior to that setback. They do however need to overcome a poor record on their travels, where they’ve won just three league games in 32 trips dating all the way back to December 2019, while losing 19 of them.
Sevilla remain unbeaten in all competitions, though after stalemates in their last three fixtures against Elche, Salzburg and Real Sociedad, they’ll hope to rediscover a clinical touch. They’ve only scored more than once in one of eight competitive matches now stretching back into May, coming recently this term against promoted outfit Rayo Vallecano. Their last four outings have all seen fewer than three goals, and it would be no surprise if this one went the same way.
Seven of eight meetings between these sides since 2018 have featured fewer than three goals, with six of these seeing at least one team fail to score. Sevilla have won all four clashes since 2020 without conceding, but they’re not scoring enough goals to be convincing winners.
UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Real Madrid v Mallorca
Mallorca will be satisfied to their return to top-flight football so far, losing just once in five appearances as they’ve picked up eight points. All five of their outings have seen fewer than three goals as they’ve both netted and conceded just three times each, though their defensive resolve will surely be tested at the Bernabeu. Indeed, all but one of their clashes have come against teams currently in the bottom half of the table.
Real have netted at least twice in nine of their past 11 competitive home games, including clashes with the likes of Atalanta, Liverpool, Barcelona, Sevilla and Villarreal. Only one of these matches have come this season since the Bernabeu reopened, a 5-2 win over Celta Vigo, but although Los Blancos aren’t plundering goals in quite the same manner as when Cristiano Ronaldo and Gareth Bale were in their pomp, they should expect to carve out opportunities against Mallorca.
Carlo Ancelotti still has problems in defence with a number of players sidelined, with Dani Carvajal joining Ferland Mendy and Marcelo on the sidelines, as well as Toni Kroos, Gareth Bale and Mariano Diaz further forwards. However, Vinicius Junior and Karim Benzema have struck up a good understanding in attack, with the former involved in 10 of their 16 goals this season across La Liga and the Champions League, netting five of them himself. The Brazilian opened the scoring when the two sides last met and can help lead the title charge with growing maturity in front of goal.
VINICIUS JUNIOR TO SCORE ANYTIME