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France came through a pretty dire game against Germany where the array of talent on the park somewhat failed to live up to the billing, though a win is a win at this stage, and they can only build on that big three points.
Hungary were very much in the game against Portugal until the last 10 minutes when a flurry of three goals sunk them, leaving them in a particularly challenging position if they want to qualify from this group now.
France To Win And Under 3.5 Goals
It’s no surprise that the French go into this one as massive favourites, knowing a win here would guarantee qualification for the round of 16, and we’d expect them to do just that, the only question that arises is by what margin.
France have now won 12 of 15 unbeaten matches in major competitions since they lost to Germany at the 2014 World Cup, though only five of those wins came by more than a single strike, including one goal wins over all of Australia, Peru, Romania, and Ireland, so a thrashing is by no means a foregone conclusion.
While it’s likely that Hungary are going to finish bottom of this group, they’re certainly not one to just rollover.
That defeat to Portugal was their first in 12 matches, and as mentioned they were very much in the game until the final few minutes with the scoreline not reflective of how solid they were at the back for the majority.
Since the beginning of 2020, they hadn’t lost by more than a single goal until they faced Portugal, and we wouldn’t count on a late flurry for the French here either.
Les Bleus haven’t conceded in five games now going back to a 1-1 draw with the Ukraine and while that’s not necessarily an indication that they’ll keep another clean sheet, it’s an indication that Hungary’s chances will be limited.
An early goal for France would likely open the game up, like it did in Hungary’s opening clash with the Portuguese, though we wouldn’t be confident of that happening.
Hungary’s last seven goals conceded have all come in the final half hour of the game, with the last five all coming in the final 10 minutes of games, leaving the half-time / full-time market looking like great value as well as the match result and goals market combination.
The goalscorer market offers little in the way of value as it’s unclear what Didier Deschamps will do with his attacking line-up.
Kylian Mbappe, Karim Benzema and Antoine Griezmann could all be rested, with the likes of Olivier Giroud and Ousmane Dembele possibly offered some minutes, though that all remains unclear, and we’ll steer clear of that market entirely for this game.