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Chelsea will be left with a feeling of frustration after coming out with just a point when hosting 10-man Arsenal midweek, though their attention now turns to domestic cup action where their matches have been more fruitful in recent years.
The last time the 2018 winners failed to win at a lower league club in this competition came against Barnsley back in March 2008, while excluding the ‘Big Six’ they’re on a run of W33-D8-L2 across all venues since that defeat, so Hull have a serious challenge on their hands.
Inconsistency has cost the Tigers dearly this season. They’re a balanced W11-D6-L11 in the league this season and currently on a run of W6-D2-L6 going back to the beginning of November as they sit in the middle of the Championship table, while successive 1-0 defeats to Fulham and Derby aren’t the kind of confidence boosting results they’d have wanted coming in to this one.
In fact, when hosting teams above them in the table they’ve lost five of seven matches, scoring just once across those defeats and Chelsea will likely be camped on the edge of their box for the majority of this game as chances will be limited for the hosts.
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Chelsea -1 Handicap
The Blues, however, have found it difficult to unlock defences of late as they’ve failed to score against Newcastle, Southampton, Bournemouth and West Ham since late November, though they’ve managed braces against Spurs and Arsenal (twice), as low block defences seem to cause them problems.
Frank Lampard will likely rotate his side to offer some younger players a chance and the last time he did that they comfortably saw off a considerably stronger Championship side in the shape of Nottingham Forest, 2-0.
In fact, Chelsea have only conceded twice in this competition against Championship sides dating back to February 2013, going W10-D2 across these matches with an aggregate scoreline of 30-2 and they covered the handicap in all 10 victories, including a 4-0 win over Hull themselves not two years ago.
Despite this remarkable record, we’re cautious to back them to win to nil due to their frailties at the back this year.
They’ve conceded the most goals from the top eight in the league this year and with players like Jarrod Bowen capable of causing problems, it’s unsure how Lampard’s side will far on that front so we’ll stick with the Blues on the handicap for this one at an extremely healthy price.
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