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FULHAM TO BEAT WOLVES AND UNDER 2.5 GOALS!
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An Aleksandar Mitrovic goal deep in the second half would have got Fulham pulses racing, though a sublime final fifteen from Trezeguet gave Aston Villa a 3-1 win and moved Scott Parker’s side further behind Newcastle and safety.
A win here would shorten their odds for safety massively, though their home record suggests that may be a lot easier said than done.
With just two wins from 16 matches at Craven Cottage, no team has a worse home record than the Whites, and that gets worse when you consider both victories have come against the only two sides below them in the table.
And they seem to be struggling more at home as the season wears on, having scored just three goals in their last 10 such games.
They come into this game off the back of three successive defeats, their worst run since losing the opening four games of the season, with the fourth coming against Wolves themselves so there may be an element of déjà vu here for the London side.
Wolves come into this without a win in five though, so they’re not exactly in electric form themselves. Their 3-2 defeat to West Ham on Monday night was slightly in contrast to their recent issues, where they’ve been unable to create enough chances in front of goal.
However, it was their defence that gone torn apart this time around, and they were incredibly wasteful in the attacking third as they managed more shots against the Hammers than in any of their last 11 matches.
Fulham’s points per game over double when they’ve come up against the current bottom eight sides this year and although they’ve had big away wins against the likes of Leicester and Liverpool, they’ve been far more consistent against that lower bracket of teams, against whom they’ve lost just one of their 10 matches.
They will consider this one of their three easiest matches for the remainder of the season, with the other two ‘must-wins’ coming at home to Burnley and in a massive six-pointer at home to the Magpies.
We’d therefore expect them to get something from this game, but are very surprised that they go in as favourites so at a price only slightly longer than evens in the 1x2 market, we’ll look elsewhere for our bet.
Aleksandar Mitrovic To Score Anytime
One player that looks to have come into form at the right time is Mitrovic, who scored on his first start for his club in over two months.
He also managed five goals in three games over the international break, and Parker has commented on his return to form being key in their bid for survival, so against a defence that looked leakier than usual last time out, we’ll back the Serbian at a decent price to get on the score sheet.
Aleksandar Mitrovic To Score Anytime At 9/4
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