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EVERTON AND LIVERPOOL BOTH TO WIN AT 11/4
It’s been as tricky a start as expected for Scott Parker’s side with just one win from eight matches so far, and after a poor opening both in terms of results and performances, they’ve started to pick up in recent weeks.
Ademola Lookman saw his poor attempt at a Panenka penalty saved in the dying moments of their clash with West Ham, though in truth it’s been his addition to the side that has been the catalyst for their upturn in performance.
It’s been somewhat the other way round for Everton after their strong start and since going unbeaten for their first five matches, they’ve now lost three on the bounce which is the first time Carlo Ancelotti has done that in his entire managerial career.
The situation is far from dire for the Toffees and a few bad results doesn’t undo how impressive they’ve been so far, though it does mean they’re longer here than potentially they would have been a month ago at only slight odds on favourites.
While there’s been a large drop off in goals since the early season flurry, that hasn’t really applied to Everton who have seen ‘Overs’ land in nine of 10 clashes across all competitions since the opening day as while Dominic Calvert-Lewin has been firing goals in at one end, they’ve been leaking them in at the other with only Liverpool conceding more from the top 14 in the table.
The Merseyside club have a strong home record under Ancelotti, though away from home there’s certainly improvement to be made going W6-D1-L7, and while five of those defeats came against ‘Big Six’ sides and Wolves, back to back away losses to Southampton and Newcastle leaves us sceptical of their chances on the outright.
Draw And Both Teams To Score
Despite only the bottom three having scored fewer goals than Fulham this term, the underlying stats show that in attack they’re not as poor at first glance.
They rank in the top half of the table for shots per game with 12.8, and that increases to 14.3 over the last four matches alone.
Ademola Lookman and Frank Zambo Anguissa also both rank in the top three for successful dribbles per game as they offer a lot more going forward than would appear on the surface.
The market reaction to Everton’s poor form seems justified to us, and a draw seems a likely outcome for us here.
Both have enough attacking potency and defensive frailty to both cause and be caused problems, so back at the cottage a score draw looks to hold the best value.
0.5pts: Draw And Both Teams To Score At 10/3
FULHAM V EVERTON ODDS AVAILABLE HERE
ODDS ARE CORRECT AS OF 19/11/2020 HOWEVER ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS