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Carlo Ancelotti spoke of his disappointment at his side’s 1-0 defeat to Sheffield United at the weekend, ending their already faint hopes of Champions League football for next season and casting serious doubt over their Europa League qualification.
You’d expect anything other than a win here would end those chances too with a current three-point gap to seventh, so there’s little doubt this will be a full strength Everton side.
The downfall for the Toffees this season has undoubtedly been their form at Goodison Park, with a lack of fans proving more of an obstacle for the Merseyside club than any other side in the league.
Draw (Everton -1 Handicap)
Indeed, based on away form alone, Everton would be occupying a Champions League spot right now, though only five teams have a worse record than their 1.06 points per game at home, so having fans back here should be a significant boost to their chances, while their away form bodes well for next season.
Indeed, Everton went unbeaten in their first 10 home games under Carlo Ancelotti, the first six of which came with fans in the ground and we’d expect them to get a serious boost this weekend with fans back.
They’ve beaten nine of the 12 sides currently below them this season, including a 2-1 win in the reverse of this fixture, while Wolves’ record this season against teams above them leaves a lot to be desired.
The midlands side have beaten just three of the 11 teams above them this season, with all of those wins coming by narrow one goal margins, and a lot of that has come down to a lack of output.
Up against the top eight in the league, they’ve only managed one goal in seven away games which came in that 4-1 defeat to Man City, and while we wouldn’t expect the hosts to run riot, they have a strong chance of nicking it.
Everton To Win 1-0
Eight of Everton’s last nine victories have come by a single strike, with each of the last four finishing 1-0, giving the correct score some serious weight when considering Wolves’ goalscoring record against that top-eight bracket, while the one goal winning margin also has some merit.
The head-to-heads are unsurprisingly in favour of the hosts, too, with Wolves winning just once here in six Premier League meetings, with each of Everton’s last three victories coming by just one goal.