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One point out of six between these two sides last weekend put a massive dent in their top four bids, especially with Liverpool, Chelsea and West Ham all winning, and you’d have to suggest that any dropped points here for either side would be the final nail in the coffin.
Spurs threw away a one goal lead hosting Man United on Sunday afternoon, and they can’t really argue that they deserved more than they got based on balance of play, particularly in the second half.
Edinson Cavani and Mason Greenwood sealed the win deep into the second half, which now leaves just Crystal Palace, Newcastle, and Sheffield United conceding more goals in the final fifteen minutes of games than Spurs this season.
Everton played out a dire 0-0 draw with Brighton on Monday night, putting a massive dent in their hopes for the top four, and it looks like Europa League football next season is the best that the Toffees can hope for.
Having won five matches on the bounce across all competitions for just the second time this season, Spurs have now gone W1-D1-L3 from their subsequent five games as there’s a massive disparity in results against the stronger and weaker teams.
Indeed, up against the current bottom-half sides, Jose Mourinho’s men have picked up a more than respectable 2.19 points per game from their 16 such matches, though that steeply drops down to 0.93 ppg when facing the current top-half sides and they’ll have to be on their game to get something here.
It’s unclear as to whether or not the hosts will have the likes of Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Allan and Andre Gomes back available for this clash, and the absence of those three could really impact their chances here.
Without their top scorer, it’s unsurprising to see a 30% decrease in Everton’s output when he doesn’t feature while they’ve only won three of their last 10 matches without Allan in the side, so the game may rest heavily on them playing.
It’s now five games without a win for the Merseyside club, who have managed just two goals in that time, and even those came against struggling sides Burnley and Crystal Palace.
While Tottenham have been quite consistent regardless of if they’re home and away, no side has a worse home/away ratio than Everton, who pick up 0.8 points per game more when away from Goodison Park.
That serves perfectly into Tottenham’s hands, who certainly have the firepower to cause this Everton defence some serious problems.
Both Teams To Score
We’re not confident of backing Spurs on the 1x2 market though, considering Everton have managed home draws with both Leicester and Liverpool, as well as wins over Chelsea and Arsenal this season.
While neither side have been particularly leaky this year, recently clean sheets have been hard to come by for both.
Spurs have managed just one in five now, and just one in six away from home against the top-half, while Everton have kept just one in eight at Goodison Park against that same bracket. With the firepower on display we’d be surprised if both teams didn’t find the net.