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There is something building in South West London that should start to be feared by the rest of the remaining Champions League teams.
Chelsea, under Thomas Tuchel, have taken a serious turn for the better and although their 5-2 defeat against West Brom at the start of the month was a little worrying, they’ve followed that up with two impressive victories, one of which being the reverse fixture with Porto that finished 2-0.
Those two away goals will be hard to overcome for this Portuguese outfit, especially considering the fact that teams that have lost the first leg by that scoreline in the knockout stages of this competition at home, have gone just W1-L6 in the return leg since 2015/16.
Chelsea To Win And Under 3.5 Goals
All but one of those defeats came with fewer than four goals being seen in the second leg and that could well be the way to go in this one given the nature of Chelsea’s results.
Moreover, that sole victory came when Man Utd did the unimaginable and knocked PSG out with that Marcus Rashford penalty and we certainly can’t see a repeat of that miracle in Paris occurring.
Kai Havertz and Cristian Pulisic look to be coming of age now under Tuchel for the first time, as they were amongst the goals in their 4-1 demolition job of Palace at the weekend.
That takes their record to W12-D3-L1 under current management, conceding just eight goals, and with that sole defeat and five of those leaked goals coming following a 29th minute red card for Thiago Silva, they look extremely difficult to beat, let alone score against.
Porto against the better teams they’ve faced in Champions League thus far – Man City, Juventus and Chelsea – have gone just W1-D1-L3 over 90 minutes, losing both such fixtures on the road and we could be in for a similar story this week.
Sergio Conceicao’s men haven’t been in the best of form over the last couple of months, going W7-D5-L3 over 90 minutes since early February, but they did show tremendous resilience and quality to knock Juventus out of this tournament in the last round.
That said, they have now lost seven of their last 11 trips in this tournament, as six of those seven losses came with fewer than four goals in total with only the free scoring Citizens being able to net three goals.
With that in mind, the home win and a maximum of three goals looks the way to go. That has been the case in all but one of the Blues’ 10 victories under current management, and at a big price holds considerable appeal for us.
Chelsea To Win And Under 3.5 Goals At 7/5
CHELSEA V PORTO ODDS AVAILABLE HERE
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ODDS ARE CORRECT AS OF 12/04/2020 HOWEVER ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS
