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Thomas Tuchel’s first game in charge ended in a 0-0 draw at home to Wolves and despite the Blues dominating proceedings in terms of possession, it was actually Wolves who had the most clear-cut chances of the game, with Pedro Neto lofting the ball over Edouard Mendy onto the bar while Callum Hudson-Odoi tracked back exceptionally well to deny Leander Dendoncker later on in the game.
Chelsea’s possession, in the first half especially, was telling of what we might come to expect from the Tuchel reign, with them completing more passes in that half than any other side in any half in the league this season, while it’s the most any Chelsea side has put together in a first half since that statistic was introduced.
It’s clear that Tuchel wants his side to move the ball around better and faster, though they were lacking any real conviction against Wolves, who managed to keep their first clean sheet in 13 outings, and they’ll have to be a lot more potent if they want to get through this Burnley defence.
The Clarets have won back-to-back games for the first time in the league this season, and considering they were against Liverpool and Aston Villa that’s all the more impressive.
It was always a matter of when, not if, they would drag themselves out of a relegation scrap and that seems to be the way Sean Dyche’s side are moving at the moment, and will be full of confidence heading into this one.
Indeed, they’d be in seventh in a table based on the last 12 matches, picking up more points than Liverpool, Arsenal, Aston Villa, and Chelsea themselves over that period, though much of their joy this season has come at Turf Moor and they’re just W2-D3-L5 on the road this season, despite achieving the seemingly impossible and running out winners at Anfield.
0.5pts: Unders 1.5 Goals
We’d expect the hosts to dominate the ball again, though they’ll be wary of the threat caused by the likes of Chris Wood and Ashley Barnes so we we’d be surprised if they were to chuck everyone forward.
Dyche’s men have proved to be one of the most resolute defences in the league, and it’s therefore no shock to see them with the lowest match goals per game in the league this season.
Their 3-2 home victory over Aston Villa on Wednesday was a bit of an anomaly, with each of their previous five matches finishing 1-0 to either side, and that’s what we’d expect again here.
Seven of their last eight away games have now seen either one goal or none at all, with the exception coming as Man City put them to the sword, and with the Blues not seeming capable of that at the moment it looks to be a question of whether or not they can break down this Burnley backline, or whether the Clarets can take advantage of the few opportunities that they’re bound to have.
0.5pts: Unders 1.5 Goals At 14/5
CHELSEA V BURNLEY ODDS AVAILABLE HERE
ODDS ARE CORRECT AS OF 27/01/2020 HOWEVER ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS