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After a calamitous couple of errors from Dani Ceballos in Arsenal’s Europa League second leg against Benfica last week, nearly saw their whole season come tumbling down.
The midfielder gave the Portuguese outfit a one away goal advantage, meaning anything less than two goals for the Gunners would see them exit in the early knockout stages for yet another season in that tournament, but a captain’s performance from Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and another consistent Bakayo Saka performance ensured they scraped their way through 4-3 on aggregate.
That performance was backed up at the weekend with a 3-1 win at King Power Stadium, their first win at that Stadium in the league since 2015.
Of course, injuries hampered their hosts that day, but you still have to admire what Mikel Arteta is doing in North London, with only one defeat dating back to early February, coming against Man City 1-0.
Life isn’t quite as merry in the Burnley camp at the minute, as although they too took points off the Foxes with a 1-1 draw midweek, that’s now four winless games on the bounce and having been put to the sword by Spurs 4-0 last weekend, we’re not buying their form one bit.
They do know how to grind out a result at Turf Moor, only losing to both Manchester clubs here since the start of November, a run of 11 games, but they’ve only beaten the inconsistent Aston Villa here from their seven matches against the current top half of the table, netting a total of just two goals across their two draws and four defeats.
Arsenal To Beat Burnley
The Gunners are W7-D2-L3 across their last 12 matches since Boxing Day, as one of those defeats came from a questionable red card to David Luiz against Wolves and the another against the almost unbeatable Citizens.
The current price does look very appealing for them to take the spoils, especially since their local rivals went and beat their next opponents 4-0 just last weekend.
We would hold a bit more caution in getting behind a big win for the visitors considering their key creator Emile Smith-Rowe could be on the sidelines for this one, but with the likes of Martin Odegaard in the side, they should still have enough quality.
This matchup has very much been dominated by the London outfit in modern times. The Clarets are just W1-D1-L10 across all competitions since the start of 2014/15, and that’s enough for us to be confident in backing the 1X2 market.
Arsenal To Beat Burnley At 4/6
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ODDS ARE CORRECT AS OF 04/03/2020 HOWEVER ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS
