This clash comes between the two longest serving managers in the Premier League in Sean Dyche and Eddie Howe, with only Wycombe’s Gareth Ainsworth lasting longer across the 91 teams from the top four divisions.
After a slight rollercoaster opening half of the season, Burnley are up to 11th in the table after a run of three wins from their past four unbeaten games. Victories came over Man Utd, Leicester and most recently Southampton, while their stalemate came at home to Arsenal, so they haven’t had it easy either.
The Cherries have fallen heavily down the table after a promising opening to the season, tumbling from 7th to 19th over a period of 11 fixtures.
However, two wins from their last three hosting relegation rivals Brighton and Aston Villa have lifted them out of the drop zone, and they’ll be hoping to pick up a positive result here.
Despite two successes, it’s the south coast side’s away form that is the real cause for concern. They’ve now lost seven of their last eight road trips following a 0-0 draw with a Watford side who were still looking for their first win back in October.
They’ve also now only managed two goals in their last six such games, as output really hasn’t been their strong point in the absence of Josh King. However, with the Norwegian back, there could be some value in getting behind the visitors in some vein.
Bournemouth +0.5 Asian Handicap
Indeed, King has been arguably the Cherries’ most influential player this season, with their points per game doubling from 0.64 to 1.27 in the 15 games that the forward has been named on the starting team sheet.
Their loss percentage nearly halves in the same circumstance too, going from a whopping 73% down to just 40% this term. Meanwhile, there’s a 38% increase in goals scored for the visitors when he’s playing, so we wouldn’t like to get behind the Burnley clean sheet.
On this basis, and with Burnley’s strike duo Chris Wood and Ashley Barnes likely to miss out through injury, there’s even more case to plump for Bournemouth.
That away record doesn’t leave us confident of going all out for the win, but the Asian handicap looks to provide a comfortable cushion here.
ALL ABOVE PRICES ARE CORRECT AS OF 11:30 19/02/2020 AND ARE SUBJECT TO FLUCTUATIONS
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