Dortmund v Hoffenheim
A rare defeat for Dortmund against Freiburg saw Marco Rose’s men drop down the table to seventh place and they’ll be keen to get back to winning ways this Friday. That result ended a run of eight victories on the bounce for the hosts dating back to early April last season, and we would be surprised if they didn’t at least come away with a point.
Sebastian Hoeness’ men remain unbeaten so far this term after beating Augsburg (4-0) and drawing 2-2 against Union Berlin. We would be concerned about their record against the top-six opposition dating back to the start of 2017/18, winning just three of their 19 trips, and they’d do well to come away with maximum points. One thing we probably can be sure of is goals, as both teams got on the scoreboard in 84% of those 19 trips, while that has happened in both of the hosts’ two outings this term.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Bayern Munich v Hertha Berlin
The new Bayern campaign under Julian Nagelsmann has started as they remain unbeaten after four matches in all competitions. A tough opener saw Robert Lewandowski get a 42nd-minute equaliser against Borussia M’gladbach, while 3-1, 3-2 and 12-0 victories respectively over Dortmund, Cologne and Bremer, has seen them show the sort of dominance we can expect from them this term.
Hertha, on the other hand, have lost both matches in the league so far and that looks likely to be three following this weekend. The Bavarian giants have won 23 of their 28-unbeaten league matches at Allianz Arena since December 2019, netting two or more goals in 25. By contrast, the Berlin outfit have lost 14 of their last 16 winless outings against what we would class as the best three sides in Germany – Bayern, Dortmund & Leipzig - dating back to November 2018, conceding two or more in 13.
BAYERN TO WIN AND OVER 2.5 GOALS
Wolfsburg v Leipzig
Mark van Bommel’s Wolfsburg outfit remain the only team to have won every game to this point. A 1-0 win over promoted outfit Bochum in the opening weekend helped them build towards a 2-1 victory on the road at Hertha last time out. They’re likely going to be in for a much tougher match in gameweek three against a Leipzig side that blitzed Stuttgart by four clear goals at the weekend.
Dominik Szoboszlai stole the show in that 4-0 result, netting half of them himself and together with Emil Forsberg and Andrew Silva, they have quite freighting attacking options. A concern would be their current four game losing run on the road, while their results against the fellow breakaway top five teams last season saw them go a disappointing D5-L3, including D3-L1 on the road at an average of 4.25 goals per game (gpg). The hosts against similar opposition have gone W1-D2-L5 since the start of last term, which isn’t exactly great either, averaging just shy of four gpg (3.75).
OVER 2.5 GOALS