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A ‘reality check’ for Chelsea midweek saw them humbled by Bayern Munich 3-0 at Stamford Bridge in the first leg of their Last 16 clash.
To rub salt in the wound, defensive midfielder Jorginho was given a yellow card after arguing with the referee, meaning he’ll miss the second leg, as will Marcos Alonso after being handed his marching orders in the 83rd minute.
It isn’t as if Bournemouth are going to provide as stern a test for Chelsea as they received against the German outfit though, with the Cherries losing six of their last eight league fixtures, as their two victories over this period came against bottom-six outfits Aston Villa and Brighton.
Defeats to in-form Burnley and Arsenal sides as well as Sheffield Utd across their last four fixtures in all competitions says all you need to know about their faltering form, though this has turned into somewhat of a bogey fixture for the visitors.
Chelsea have lost three of their four league meetings with Eddie Howe’s men since the start of 2018, including their last trip to the Vitality Stadium as they were crushed 4-0 in January, as well as the only one of these under Frank Lampard back in December.
That’ll be a concern for the visitors, especially since they’ve secured just one win in five Premier League outings now since mid-January, losing to both Newcastle and Man Utd.
Bournemouth To Beat Chelsea
One factor that will play into the hands of the Blues is their form on the road. They’ve gone W10-D3-L4 in away matches this term across all tournaments, although that record has been slightly diminished in recent months as they’re just W3-D3-L3 since late November.
In fact, they’ve now lost two of their last three trips to bottom-half teams, as well as four of five home or away, and so this could well present an opportunity to take them on.
The Cherries have a surprisingly respectful record when hosting the weaker of the ‘Big Six’ outfits. In fact, excluding Liverpool and Man City from that bracket, they’ve won three of four unbeaten such outings since the start of 2019 by an aggregate scoreline of 7-1 and we’re therefore surprised to see them at such a big price.
Eddie Howe will be happy to have Joshua King back to full fitness, while Nathan Ake will be raring to go on his return against his former club.
Indeed, their winning percentage since the start of last season increases by 14% in the 50 King has started compared to when he hasn’t, as well as 15% in the 59 where Ake has been on the field from the off.
They’ll therefore want both them starting, while back-to-back victories for them at this stadium is enough for us to get behind them to win against Lampard’s deflated charges.
Bournemouth To Beat Chelsea At 15/4
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