Bayern showed their strength of character as having gone down 2-1 at home to Frankfurt prior to the international break, they regrouped and put Bayer Leverkusen to the sword in a 5-1 demolition, leaving their away form making pretty scary reading.
Since the opening day draw away to Borussia Monchengladbach, Bayern have won each of their last six away matches across all competitions, scoring a massive 30 goals across those outings.
Benfica also lost their first game of the season just before the international break, with Portimonense taking a 1-0 victory here at the Estadio da Luz, though they were less convincing upon return and were taken to extra-time by second tier Trofense before they eventually secured the win in the Taca de Portugal.
That won’t have filled fans with confidence, though they can still call upon an unbeaten record so far in this group, including an impressive 3-0 victory over Barcelona at home and they’ll be determined to replicate those heroics on Wednesday night.
Benfica have never managed that feat before though, going D3-L5 against the German giants over the course of history, and D1-L3 in their only recent meetings over the past six years, and while they have a strong recent home record in this competition, winning each of their last five outings by an aggregate 12-2, they’re last two defeats here have come in their last two matches hosting German opposition, with both Leipzig and Bayern getting the better of the Eagles.
Bayern Munich -1 Handicap
Unless the visitors are seriously off the pace of the game, they should have no trouble getting over the line and claiming three points.
While Benfica are no pushovers, it’s hard to argue that Bayern aren’t the best team in world football at the moment and their array of attacking talent should prove too much for this Benfica side to handle, with the likes of Robert Lewandowski and Serge Gnabry both in red hot form in front of goal, while the hosts remain without Haris Seferovic who managed 28 goals for club and country last year.
Bayern haven’t lost in 22 away Champions League outings going back to a defeat to PSG in September 2017.
They’ve won 18 of those games, including here at the Estadio da Luz, with their only slip ups at Anfield, the Bernabeu, the Wanda Metropolitano and the Johan Cruyff Arena, all of which are notoriously hard to play at.
Of those 18 victories, 11 of the most recent 16 have come by at least two clear goals, including in games over Barcelona, Chelsea, Lazio, Lyon, Tottenham, and Benfica themselves, so the -1 handicap on the away win looks the way to go here.
BAYERN MUNICH -1 HANDICAP